Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > Limit Texas Hold'em > Limit-->NL

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #9  
Old 10-09-2007, 02:08 PM
greggg230 greggg230 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 755
Default Re: Bad end of a straight, monotone flop, getting action

27 two pair - 84% equity
9 sets - 63% equity
Approximately 400 hands he's even money with (A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img],K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] hands) - 50% equity
4 hands he's tied with (98 no diamonds) - 50% equity
5 hands he's tied with when another diamond doesn't come up - 32% equity
12 hands he's behind, but has 3 outs to tie with (K9) - 8% equity
16 hands he's behind and virtually drawing dead against - 0%
45 flushes he's drawing dead against (or virtually) - 0% equity

Total of 518 hands.

Equity against the range = (27/518)(.84) + (9/518)(.63) + (400/518)(.50) + (4/518)(.50) + (5/518)(.32) + (16/518)(0) + (45/518)(0) = 44.8% equity

However, this does not include the fact that there may be worse hands than these (overpairs, hands like AQ, bare straight draws) which may fold to a re-raise. If only 20% of the time someone folds to your re-raise, re-raising is clearly +EV. This also also assumes that any two suited cards are in villain's range.
Reply With Quote
 

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 08:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2022, vBulletin Solutions Inc.