Halloween WW - Costume Party (Game Thread)

[Bulletproof Monk]

wait a sec.... i may have a solution.

currently we have 7 players.

skillay + 6 others.

2 of these players are wolfs.

ok, if we lynch someone other than skillay today:

then if we mislynch its gg, as tmr its 4 players with 2 wolfs.

if we lynch correctly today then tmr its mustlynch, with 4 players and 1 wolf.

but, if we lynch skillay today,

then if we mislynch, tmr its still 5 players and 2 wolfs, mustlynch again.

and if we correctly lynch, then tmr its 5 players and ONE wolf, giving us another day without mustlynch.


so the strictly dominating strategy is to just kill skillay now, regardless of his role. is this correct?

[Bulletproof Monk]

(yes i know it isnt really strictly dominating =P )

[Bulletproof Monk]

meh its not quite right, but i cbf fixing it atm... someone else can and see if the general logic is correct

[KyrosMother]

OK - I wanted to know what skill had to say about why he was still alive, as I had serious doubts that DMK would give <u>two</u> villagers extra lives, unless he did the same for the evils. Remember OH had one.

So, if skill had come back and said he had an <u>extra life</u>, either tar was lying or there was a good chance we still had a wolf with an extra life. The latter would have been very bad. I'm not even sure we could win.

But skill says he has an extra <u>day</u>, not an extra life. Therefore, I am still inclined to believe tar. And that leaves me with FCBL=witch and Mark=pumpkin.

[Bulletproof Monk]

im so confused.... shouldnt skillay just be dying tonite (from poison)?

[KyrosMother]

[ QUOTE ]
km why wont you disclose your role completely?

[/ QUOTE ]

Either 1) I did and you don't believe me or 2) I obviously have reasons.


Monk,
You are right and not right. If we lynch skill today and they kill jgunnip tonight - tomorrow we are at five (3 villager/neutrals and 2 wolves). If skill is the witch, we are still fine. But, if he is a villager/neutral, then the witch can still silence one of us and we would be at 2-2.

According to skill, yes he should die tonight from the poison. His powers gave him an extra day.

If we <u>don't</u> lynch skill and he and jgunnip die tonight, then there are a lot of scenarios, depending on skill's role and the role of who we lynch. I need to think about those more. If skill is lying and doesn't die tonight - then obviously a lot will depend on his role.

[Bulletproof Monk]

yeah your absolutely correct. ignore my post

[KyrosMother]

FCBL

I can't see anything changing my mind at this point.

[SkillaySkill]

eskimo, youre being so dumb. you can't kill me anyway. god if it wasn't like 95% you were the pumpkin, i'd swear you were evil.

what is so hard to believe about a good character with protections from death? OH could had to be killed or lynched twice. it's pretty reasonable for dmk to give a corresponding good role for balancing. it's not like i have offensive powers. you lose my vote either tomorrow at daybreak, or when it turns night (idk how dmk settles it up), so talking about killing me (which is impossible anyway) is a waste. we need to decide bewteen fcbl/mark/km.

[Mark_K]

I-way elieve-bay Illay-skay is-way ying-lay AGAIN-WAY. E-hay
ied-lay esterday-yay. E's-hay obably-pray ying-lay oday-tay.

Emember-ray: E-thay ast-lay ay-day efore-bay omeone-say ies-day
of-way oison-pay, ey-thay are-way o-say ick-say at-thay ey-thay
an't-cay use-way owels-vay. Illay-skay as-hay o-nay oblem-pray
ith-way owels-vay.