2/4 NFD deep vs scary c/r

[plzbenice]

like i said u cant write in every possible combo since u run out of space.


make your own range instead then and post it.
now i took away AAxx because we have an A and took away 66 as well, hell prob play most QQxx but just very good 66xx(like doublepairs or 3straights)
so its QQ and a lot of draws, even some weaker ones.




Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: AdQs6s
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
AsJsJc8c 46.15% 276,118 1,544
QQ**,KsJTs*,KsJT9s,KJTs8s,KJTs9s,AKsQTs,KJT* 53.85% 322,338 1,544

[plzbenice]

chaning the KJTx without spades for 66xx changs things considerably though:

Omaha Hi Simulation
600,000 trials (Randomized)
board: AdQs6s
Hand Pot equity Wins Ties
AsJsJc8c 36.15% 216,609 525
QQ**,KsJTs*,KsJT9s,KJTs8s,KJTs9s,AKsQTs,66** 63.85% 382,866 525

[iggymcfly]

If we all agree that a call's bad, a shove and a fold are breakeven at 41.6% equity. Considering the range with 46% equity looks more correct than the range with 36% equity and we do get a fold at least occasionally, I think a shove's the play, but it's close enough that I couldn't fault a fold too much.

[blumpkin]

[ QUOTE ]
If we all agree that a call's bad, a shove and a fold are breakeven at 41.6% equity. Considering the range with 46% equity looks more correct than the range with 36% equity and we do get a fold at least occasionally, I think a shove's the play, but it's close enough that I couldn't fault a fold too much.

[/ QUOTE ]

I like your argument, but the deciding factors for me were that (1) I thought I had close to zero fold equity and (2) I thought, due to him possibly not being a regular, that he might "overplay" his made hands ignoring the fact that I could easily have the nuts. So, I ended up folding. I still think it's very very close, and I sort of wish I had pushed so that I would have seen his hand (and hopefully suck out).