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#11
09-07-2007, 01:59 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
[ QUOTE ]
For the most part, I like reserving lines like that for opponents who play very loose, float around light and will bet pretty much ATC when checked to. [/ QUOTE ] that is certainly one of the situations in which it works. 
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#13
09-07-2007, 03:19 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
[ QUOTE ]
bet/3bet is better than this fancy shmancy [/ QUOTE ] care to explain? and who says he's raising this turn even with AK? this is a live low limit game.
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#14
09-07-2007, 03:24 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
What is your image in the view of the ABC player?
The risk here is that you check, villain bets, you raise, he folds, and you earn one big bet when you should have earned two by just betting both streets. (A secondary risk is that the turn checks through.) (A tertiary risk is that villain calls down the check-raise, when he would have raised the turn and called down a three-bet and a river bet). Don't give your opponents easy opportunities to fold. The key here, as I suggested in the opening, is your image to villain. If villain thinks that you are full of it, and will call down anything but is unlikely to raise, your play may be spot on. That is going to be the exception, though, rather than the rule.
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#15
09-07-2007, 03:29 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
On the other hand, if you bet out on the turn villain may just go away now reasoning that since the Ace didn't scare you, you can beat their big pocket pair. If villain does have a big Ace, they will almost certainly b/c and call the river.
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#16
09-07-2007, 03:32 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
[ QUOTE ]
On the other hand, if you bet out on the turn villain may just go away now reasoning that since the Ace didn't scare you, you can beat their big pocket pair. If villain does have a big Ace, they will almost certainly b/c and call the river. [/ QUOTE ] How likely is villain to have an overpair in this pot based on flop and pre-flop? If he does, how often is he laying it down to a single bet on each of the turn and the river?
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#17
09-07-2007, 03:35 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
ok here is my thinking on this hand.
villain here is boring with no imagination. the phrase "3 bet the flop with overcards" is not in his mind. if he 3 bets my flop CR he has 99-AA. if not he has a big K, a big A, or QJ. he called my flop CR - thus he has the latter group of hands. Unless he has a big A, this villain hates the turn. he doesnt care that it really doesnt make sense that I would have an A, but he hates it anyway. Consequently, he'll throw away all his big K's and big Q's. I dont want that. On the other hand, if he hit the A, he'll bet, and I get to CR. For all those saying B/3B - honestly, what percent of villains in a live, low limit game have the stones to ever raise a big street with one pair, especially when you continue to show strength into possible scare cards?
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#18
09-07-2007, 03:49 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] On the other hand, if you bet out on the turn villain may just go away now reasoning that since the Ace didn't scare you, you can beat their big pocket pair. If villain does have a big Ace, they will almost certainly b/c and call the river. [/ QUOTE ] How likely is villain to have an overpair in this pot based on flop and pre-flop? If he does, how often is he laying it down to a single bet on each of the turn and the river? [/ QUOTE ] Lots of players will play an overpair this way preflop and on the flop. That being said, you will probably get him to call a bet on the turn and the river if he has TT - KK. I conceed that it's probably better to bet all the way here.
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#19
09-07-2007, 03:55 PM
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Re: Speaking of sexies...
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] On the other hand, if you bet out on the turn villain may just go away now reasoning that since the Ace didn't scare you, you can beat their big pocket pair. If villain does have a big Ace, they will almost certainly b/c and call the river. [/ QUOTE ] How likely is villain to have an overpair in this pot based on flop and pre-flop? If he does, how often is he laying it down to a single bet on each of the turn and the river? [/ QUOTE ] Lots of players will play an overpair this way preflop and on the flop. That being said, you will probably get him to call a bet on the turn and the river if he has TT - KK. I conceed that it's probably better to bet all the way here. [/ QUOTE ] Exactly: only notably tight players are going to be dumping a hand like QQ if we bet the turn here.
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