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#2
11-28-2007, 05:26 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
I looked at the Washington line after the death of Sean Taylor, and it was -5 (-106) .... The line is now -5.5
Anyone know where it was before the shooting? And why does it move like this? (These are more curiosity/theoretical I suppose)... 
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#3
11-28-2007, 06:14 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
All plays are risking 1u.
Dolphins -1 (-110) Get ready to pop those champagne corks '76 Bucs. Miami's the better team, albeit barely, and they're at home. It's time to celebrate. Vikes -3.5 (-110) The last time I bet on a Vikings game and ignored matchups it bit me in the ass. Well, the matchups favor the Lions in this game as well, but the Vikings are just too good of a team, despite not always playing like one. Interesting note, according to FO, the Vikes are the favorite (at 34.5%) to win the 6th playoff spot assuming the Giants and current division leaders stay the same. Panthers/49ers O35 (-110) I'm sorry. I know we're looking at two dreadful offenses here, but I cannot dignify seeing a total this low in a game that features two bottom 10 defenses.
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#4
11-28-2007, 06:27 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
I looked at the Washington line after the death of Sean Taylor, and it was -5 (-106) .... The line is now -5.5 Anyone know where it was before the shooting? And why does it move like this? (These are more curiosity/theoretical I suppose)... [/ QUOTE ] sbrlines shows the opener as -5 -104. Personally, I tend to stay away from games that become unpredictable due to external events like this. Washington could play very poorly because they are grieving and distracted, or they could play great because they are very motivated to win in Taylor's memory. It's too risky to try to guess which way it will turn out.
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#5
11-28-2007, 06:29 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
Dolphins seem to be a big BSP pick this week; everybody thinks they are finally going to get a win. My sample may be biased since I'm in Florida, although these aren't really Dolphins fans that I've heard from.
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#6
11-28-2007, 06:30 PM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
Dolphins seem to be a big BSP pick this week; everybody thinks they are finally going to get a win. My sample may be biased since I'm in Florida, although these aren't really Dolphins fans that I've heard from. [/ QUOTE ] wagerline has it at 50/50 at 1.5 right now. Not nearly as BSPish as Cleveland, Denver and SD.
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#7
11-29-2007, 09:42 AM
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Re: *** OFFICIAL 12/02/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***
[ QUOTE ]
Dolphins seem to be a big BSP pick this week; everybody thinks they are finally going to get a win. [/ QUOTE ] Really? It hasn't seemed like that to me. I have them for 1u either way. I'm looking at market price/DVOA/Sagarin/tea leaves. [ QUOTE ] My sample may be biased since I'm in Florida, although these aren't really Dolphins fans that I've heard from. [/ QUOTE ] I live in New York but haven't heard much from New Yorkers about the game.
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