Semibluff 2nd Barrel in RR Pot

[jk3a]

Poker Stars - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $1/$2 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker Hand History Converter)

SB: $69.85
Hero (BB): $200.00
UTG: $100.80
MP: $86.10
CO: $58.35
BTN: $182.00

Reads: <font color="blue">Villain is 22/14/3 through 115 hands. Seems decent. No relevant history/image stuff.</font>

Preflop: Hero is dealt J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (6 Players)
3 folds, <font color="red">BTN raises to $7.00</font>, SB folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $26.00</font>, BTN calls $19.00

Flop: ($53) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets $33.00</font>, BTN calls $33.00

Turn: ($119) 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">Hero bets all-in for $141.00</font>,

[gimmetheloot]

i think hes calling.

[Imrahil]

I've yet to see a person at 200nl lay down a hand on the turn in a 3bet pot. He's always calling this.

[BombayBadboy]

[ QUOTE ]
I've yet to see a person at 200nl lay down a hand on the turn in a 3bet pot. He's always calling this.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yep. Probably AK here.

[jk3a]

[ QUOTE ]
I've yet to see a person at 200nl lay down a hand on the turn in a 3bet pot. He's always calling this.

[/ QUOTE ]

Seriously, When I shove AA/AK/KK/QJs/anything else I'm value betting, I don't get looked up here but around 50-60% of the time IME.

[jk3a]

bump

[ceire]

you wrong his calling this all day at leat 85% of the time, you 3 bet preflop and bet the flop you should be finished in the hand imo
(you have ace high) cant see him folding any rangs

[jk3a]

[ QUOTE ]
I've yet to see a person at 200nl lay down a hand on the turn in a 3bet pot. He's always calling this.

[/ QUOTE ]

I feel like a crazy person reading these replies. He is not a known 2p2er. His calling range pf is prob. much wider than it should be. Please also note the bet size on the flop. He's almost certainly calling with any ten and QQ/JJ. You guys must have crazy images if no one is ever folding to your turn bet in these spots.

Obv. you guys think he is almost never folding, but if we have 15% equity against his calling range, he only has to fold like 36% of the time for us to break even.

I certainly don't feel like he is folding a king or better like ever, but I have no reason to believe that those hands make up enough of his range for this to not be +EV. Nor do I believe that he can/will really call with worse than a king.

[Dan Bitel]

jk3a,

too much of his range just picked up 2pair/draw to go with their flopped pair for this to be good

[BDaws]

jk3a, what is his sn. PM me if you don't want to out him.