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  #11  
Old 11-25-2007, 11:52 PM
pirateboy pirateboy is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.
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  #12  
Old 11-26-2007, 12:05 AM
Troll_Inc Troll_Inc is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
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Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Awesome cool thanks!
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  #13  
Old 11-26-2007, 12:09 AM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: taking DVaut\'s money
Posts: 3,294
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you feed stray cats too?

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]
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  #14  
Old 11-26-2007, 12:32 AM
pirateboy pirateboy is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,514
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you feed stray cats too?

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

The Vols did yesterday

HELLLOOOOOO
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  #15  
Old 11-26-2007, 01:04 AM
bills217 bills217 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: taking DVaut\'s money
Posts: 3,294
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

I win the parlay if either 1 OR 2 hits.

So 1 by itself is >50% to hit.
What % of the time will #2 be true?

[/ QUOTE ]

I did the 2nd one for you - around 36%.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you feed stray cats too?

[img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

The Vols did yesterday

HELLLOOOOOO

[/ QUOTE ]

uncalled for [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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  #16  
Old 11-26-2007, 01:36 AM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Manhattan
Posts: 8,227
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

rofl_copter
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  #17  
Old 11-27-2007, 11:14 AM
cato-tonia cato-tonia is offline
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Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 63
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
Uh, 1 is far superior. Oklahoma is a fav over Mizzou and rightly so.

[/ QUOTE ]

wow, we actually agree on something. i gotta make an appointment with a proctologist, quick.
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  #18  
Old 11-27-2007, 03:24 PM
Dawg24 Dawg24 is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2007
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Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

I have not had a chance to see much of Oklahoma or Mizzou...but I would think the level of talent would be far superior at Ok...

I was loving OK-3 but wanted to hear some thoughts of people who have actually watched some games....

I also like Va Tech as I have watched both teams a few times and have never been impressed by BC...and everyone on here tells me Va Tech is better than UGA...and UGA would wipe the floor with BC.
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  #19  
Old 11-27-2007, 03:32 PM
pirateboy pirateboy is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,514
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

I put 2 units on Tennessee +7.5 as my only play so far. I expect to add 2-3 more games and some totals.

If you look at the UT/LSU game without any of the emotional factors (Miles ----> Michigan, LSU heartbreak, UT momentum/rallying underdogs) then I think LSU beats Tennessee by 10+.

But how much do these intangible things matter? How much are they worth in handicapping? I have no idea, but I think enough for Tennessee to cover and possibly win.

LSU's been a bit suspect in deep coverage, but Tennessee doesn't throw a lot of deep stuff. Sometimes we do, but when we do, it's usually a sideline fly pattern. Very rarely this year have we thrown a deep post, much less for a completion.

One player that I think could make a difference is the elder Cottam brother. He was our #1 TE (Chris Brown is our #1 H-Back) before he broke his wrist. He was denied a 6th year, so he returned against Kentucky and had a huge catch and run that showed why he was our #1 TE. He's 6'8", 270 and runs a 4.6. He's a gazelle. He could be a big playmaker.

Arian Foster had a rough 2006, but he shined against LSU's better defense last year. Hardesty (#2 RB) might be limited, and our #3 is freshman Lennor Creer (who is the most promising RB I've seen at UT since Travis Henry, but he's young).

LSU has only played a couple of OLs as good as UT's - Florida and Arkansas, and I'm not sure where UT ranks in those 3.

Ainge didn't play more than 6 snaps against LSU last year on his bum ankle. He had a disastrous game in 2005 against them.

What else? Nobody in our secondary can cover Doucet. Eric Berry is more athletic, but a frosh.
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  #20  
Old 11-27-2007, 05:01 PM
Ditch Digger Ditch Digger is offline
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Join Date: Jan 2006
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Posts: 1,880
Default Re: NCAAF Early Lines Thread (Conference championship week)

[ QUOTE ]
I have not had a chance to see much of Oklahoma or Mizzou...but I would think the level of talent would be far superior at Ok...

I was loving OK-3 but wanted to hear some thoughts of people who have actually watched some games....

I also like Va Tech as I have watched both teams a few times and have never been impressed by BC...and everyone on here tells me Va Tech is better than UGA...and UGA would wipe the floor with BC.

[/ QUOTE ]

I wouldn't put any money on OU. MU was missing Temple during the OU game. OU is going to be missing Murray and possibly their leading sack guy, Auston English.

MU offense > OU offense. OU defense > MU defense.
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