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  #11  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:29 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

Yes, there is a huge pro-Yankee bias. See CBB, Duke for details.
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  #12  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:32 PM
CrushinFelt CrushinFelt is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

I'm having trouble searching for threads on the value (or lack thereof) in -1.5 lines. Anyone have a link or a short (not one sentence) summary of why no one bets them.

fwiw I have yankees -1.5 and red sox -1.5 parlayed because the odds looked good (and yes I mean look lol I did zero analysis)
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  #13  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:35 PM
domer2 domer2 is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

Little late, but correct line was Cleveland -112 so yeah.
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  #14  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:49 PM
crockpot crockpot is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

[ QUOTE ]
Carmona's xFIP is about half a run better then Pettite's... and that doesn't even properly reward him for his sick GB%.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes it does. do you really think wang's xFIP is in the low-4's on the strength of his strikeout rate?
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  #15  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:55 PM
DCJ311 DCJ311 is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

uhh the yankees just find a way to win and you cant put a price on that.

seriously this line was a total joke, I have way too much money right now on Indians +120 and +1.5 -140. Fair line probably Yankees -105 or even money.
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  #16  
Old 10-05-2007, 06:26 PM
SL__72 SL__72 is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Carmona's xFIP is about half a run better then Pettite's... and that doesn't even properly reward him for his sick GB%.

[/ QUOTE ]

yes it does. do you really think wang's xFIP is in the low-4's on the strength of his strikeout rate?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I wasn't thinking... it penalizes extreme FB pitchers, not GB ones.
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  #17  
Old 10-05-2007, 07:09 PM
dankhank dankhank is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

this game is [censored] stupid
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  #18  
Old 10-05-2007, 07:11 PM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

[ QUOTE ]
this game is [censored] stupid

[/ QUOTE ]

Tell me about it. How many frigging runners can the Indians strand in scoring position? Maybe I should have bet the "Yankees are supernatural" side. [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
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  #19  
Old 10-05-2007, 07:21 PM
Limpfold Limpfold is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

Stranding runners happens but really, what are the odds you have 3 leadoff singles, 1 leadoff double, 1 leadoff triple and score 0 runs...
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  #20  
Old 10-05-2007, 07:50 PM
Nate_Dogg Nate_Dogg is offline
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Default Re: Cleveland +118: Are MLB playoff lines really this square?

Probably the greatest unintentional product placement add ever with the Off bugspray
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