Probability Q

[ALReturnsLOL]

I need 28.5% equity to make a breakeven call here, right?


players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $85
UTG+1: $114.60
CO: $81.81
Hero: $98.50Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6
SB: $159.67
BB: $68.34

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $5</font>, CO folds, Hero calls, 2 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($16.5, 3 players)
UTG checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $11</font>, UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises all-in $109.6</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero calls all-in $82.5</font>.
Uncalled bets: $16.1 returned to UTG+1.

[Alobar]

You are calling $82.50 to win $121.10

82.5:121.1 = 1:1.46 = you need 40.5% equity

[not a model]

pot= 16.5+11+11+82.5= 121.

121 to 82.5 = 1 to 1.466666 = you are getting one and a half to one. one and a half to one is the same as 3 to 2. 3 to 2 is %40 to %60. you need to be slightly more than %40 to have the correct odds to call.

also, titling stuff in the probability forum "probability q," not so helpful.