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#1
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
I was reading somewhere that a 65 year old can expect to live to 84, on average. So this doesn't seem like too much of a stretch...
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#2
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
Wealth is a huge factor. Aside from the wealthy being generally healthier and getting better health care, only the very wealthy will be able to afford the theoretical future life-extending treatments that make this bet +EV.
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#3
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
It's my guess that a life expectancy of 90 isn't the norm for people who are 50, so if we can't pick people out for longevity by looking at the longevity of their parents and/or family, we'd have to try to find something else concrete to work with. Offhand, I'd guess diet, level of substance use and abuse, exercise, where one lives, stress levels, and wealth would all be very important components in longevity.
In the US, they supposedly live longest in Hawaii. It may not be mathematically sensible to give any 50 year old a 50% chance to hit 90, but I guess if I were to put money on anyone to do it, it would be: A non-smoker who is at most a light drinker and does no other drugs, lives in Hawaii, is retired and has nothing particularly stressful in their life to worry about, has plenty of money to meet any health needs and buy the best healthy food, actually does eat healthy and moderately, and gets plenty of exercise. Hawaii has a pretty fair number of people who live quite a bit like that. |
#4
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
Does anyone know what the rate of dementia (any form) is in 90 year olds?
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#5
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know what the rate of dementia (any form) is in 90 year olds? [/ QUOTE ] From personal observation it seems to be around 99.9% |
#6
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
[ QUOTE ]
Does anyone know what the rate of dementia (any form) is in 90 year olds? [/ QUOTE ] That's because they're not on online forums posting and exercising their minds. |
#7
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Re: Can Today\'s 50 Year Old Be Favored To Reach 90?
50 year olds who are fit should have nearly a 50/50 chance.
But what percentage of 50 year old white males are fit? Less than 10%??? |
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