[NL200] AA with coldcalling small blind => time to lay`em down ?

[bilbo-san]

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If you are folding AA here i want you all at my table... villain never has KK-TT here?


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KK seems unlikely -- wouldn't the nit have 3bet oop?

TT also seems like a serious stretch, considering the flop action, doesn't it?

Maybe add AKs to the range. Anyway, I'd fold, unless your image hzs been LAG and you think he's putting you on a wide range to begin with.

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Why is TT a stretch? It's clearly way ahead of a Tag's opening + c-betting range, and the board is drawy. Why not c/r there? If you have TT are you really unhappy if villain folds AKo? Or hell, any Ace? They'd probably be correct to push hands like AJo, but they aren't likely to, versus your 12/10 self.

Really, the only folds TT doesn't want to see are 77-99, or random junky connectors that don't have a piece -- none of which you are liable to get further action from because pretty much every turn card scares one of you or kills one of your hands.

And, clearly, a 12/10 is more than capable of thinking about further streets in this manner.

Board: 3s 4s 5h
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 42.404% 40.51% 01.90% 190089 8895.00 { A2s+, AJo+ }
Hand 1: 57.596% 55.70% 01.90% 261381 8895.00 { TT }

[brizzology]

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If you are folding AA here i want you all at my table... villain never has KK-TT here?


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KK seems unlikely -- wouldn't the nit have 3bet oop?

TT also seems like a serious stretch, considering the flop action, doesn't it?


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Why is TT a stretch? It's clearly way ahead of a Tag's opening + c-betting range, and the board is drawy. Why not c/r there?


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Yeah, I think it's possible. I'd just give it much less weight than other holdings (sets, strong draws) so I wouldn't go by pokerstove results necessarily. The same goes for KK IMO.

[1968]

push the flop.. on a draw heavy board like that- you cant fold. this does look like a set. a nit isn't likely to be cold calling out of the SB with connectors.. but any overpair is also part of his range there.. you still have ~23% equity against a set; anything else you have him crushed.