#11
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
[ QUOTE ]
you're really calling this sherman? I think it looks like he has an ace, considers trips the nuts, and wanted to crai the turn. I don't see us being ahead 2/3 of the time, I'd drop it. [/ QUOTE ] We don't have to be ahead 2/3 of the time. We have to win 1/3. Sherman |
#12
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
id fold.. villain isnt bluffing here v often and isnt calling flop w/o an ace v often... also, utg is v short so this might be +$ev if this is the final table
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#13
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
Really hard to understand how many people are saying fold here with villains stats and the pot odds. Calling here everytime.
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#14
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
Given your read that BB is very active/agrro, there might not be much value in betting this flop, since he's prob 3-betting pre with almost all of the Ax hands that are good enough to call your raise. The best way to get value from worse hands is to check the flop and bet, or call most turns. On the river his range is polarized to 66/aces full and bluffs, so calling isn't bad at all IMO, given the odds that you're getting.
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#15
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
I'd get sucked in to a call here, but I'd hate it.
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#16
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
[ QUOTE ]
Really hard to understand how many people are saying fold here with villains stats and the pot odds. Calling here everytime. [/ QUOTE ] regarding villains stats I call here, though painfully. Call and get mad when he shows 66 or 44. |
#17
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
[ QUOTE ]
Villian is a 36.2/23.4/3 Very very very active on the FT bubble. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] This is tough because your turn check makes it so easy for him to bluff the river. And for that reason I call. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] We only need 34% equity to break even. Pretty easy call IMO. [/ QUOTE ] |
#18
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
With these stats not reraising preflop in the BB i don't give villain much credit for an ace here, so I think betting the flop is fine.
Turn check is also good imo as we will see a lot bluffs on the river. River is an easy call. |
#19
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
No one's thinkng about the flush draw here? For this reason, I think I play it the same, but call on river. Maybe a bit more pre and a bit more on the flop.
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#20
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Re: JJ LOL DONKAMENTS?
I like pf / flop / turn, now call the river and berate his A2o.
Edit: it's pretty clear you don't have an Ace, so he could be (probably is) betting a wide range here on the river expecting you to fold a large % of the time. |
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