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#1
11-01-2007, 04:27 PM
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Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
He hasn't been sitting long, so no info. I'm just curious what you guys think of my line given the stack sizes, and what you think I should do on the end.
Full Tilt Poker, $0.05/$0.10 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter BTN: $4.80 SB: $25.80 Hero (BB): $22.50 UTG: $5.50 CO: $10 Pre-Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BB) 2 folds, BTN calls $0.10, SB calls $0.05, Hero checks Flop: ($0.30) 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players) SB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $0.30</font>, BTN folds, <font color="red">SB raises to $0.60</font>, Hero calls $0.30 Turn: ($1.50) Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $1.50</font>, Hero calls $1.50 River: ($4.50) 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) <font color="red">SB bets $4.50</font>, Hero ?? 
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#2
11-01-2007, 04:50 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
His hands:
flush 20% straight (78) 5% (too aggressive for inside straight river) 2 pair/set 70% air/1 pair 5% If he hit the flush he must have had 9d. My estimate is 3 to 1 you're a winner so I'm raising (possibly all in depending on stack sizes, I didn't work out how much was left to bet.) At NL20 most people will call you with set/2p.
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#3
11-01-2007, 04:51 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
i like a smaller raise, to like 13
we will have to call a shove but it makes it more likely a weaker hand calls us
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#4
11-01-2007, 04:51 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
turn is marginal, but can be justified with implied odds esp. if you shove river here. He has the flush almost never, I expect to see a set.
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#5
11-01-2007, 04:54 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
Very easy river shove. He has played his hand like a made hand the entire way. The only possible hand that could have you beat on the river given the way he has played it would be Ad9d imo.
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#6
11-01-2007, 04:56 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
[ QUOTE ]
i like a smaller raise, to like 13 we will have to call a shove but it makes it more likely a weaker hand calls us [/ QUOTE ] You really think he's going to call $13 but fold to $15?
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#8
11-01-2007, 04:58 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
I 4-bet the flop. Our equity is great on the flop, then takes a nose dive if the turn blanks. We want to get more money in while our equity is high.
As played, def. shove the river. At these stakes and with these effective stack sizes, if he calls a smaller raise he'll call a shove.
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#9
11-01-2007, 05:01 PM
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Re: Nice flop from the big blind, about 200BB deep vs small blind
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] i like a smaller raise, to like 13 we will have to call a shove but it makes it more likely a weaker hand calls us [/ QUOTE ] You really think he's going to call $13 but fold to $15? [/ QUOTE ] its more like 20...but yes i feel like he would fold to a shove at least some edit: i meant 13 total
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