Spellmen's Dec picks (NBA, NFL, etc)

[Spellmen]

Let me start by saying I am new to this, but I don't want to clutter other's threads with some of my pics, also take mine with a grain of salt and feel free to rip on me if I make a blatant mistake. Now seems as good as time as any to get a record going and try to give something back instead of just tailing others.

12/9/06 - Houston at Washington
Houston PK
1.5 units

Both are coming off of wins tonight. Houston won in a blowout vs Charlotte, finishing 92-62. The game was basically over in the first half and Yao and Tmac saw only 26 and 27 minutes each.
Washington finished the game 113-98 vs Philly, but trailed by double digits and did not lead until late third or early fourth, their starters played pretty normal minutes.
To me, Houston seems like the better team by far. I think the extra rest for Yao and Tmac will keep them alot fresher tomorrow.

As I said, take it with a grain of salt since I'm just starting out, but I would assume this line could move to -2 or so for Houston

[Spellmen]

NFL 12/10/06
Added: Tenn at Houston
Tenn PK
1 unit

Seems widely available at Tenn +1, I need to add some accounts at different books [img]/images/graemlins/crazy.gif[/img]

Also edited to add it was 2 units on Rockets

[Spellmen]

12/9/06
Added: Dallas at Denver over 212
Denver and Miami went for 230 last night, Miami being one of the lowest scoring teams in the league at 93-94ppg. Dallas has the pieces to play a running game with Denver
1 unit

[Spellmen]

12/9/06 - Houston at Washington
Houston PK
2 Units
WIN

12/9/06
Added: Dallas at Denver over 212
1 unit
LOSE Total was around 195. First quarter was at 66, but things must have really slowed down.

NFL 12/10/06
Tenn at Houston
Tenn PK
1 unit
WIN

NBA YTD: 1-1 +0.82 units

NFL YTD: 1-0 +0.91 units

[Spellmen]

12/13/06 Thursday night game
SF@Sea Player Prop
Alex Smith U28.5 attempts (-120) Bodog
2 units

Weather is supposed to be bad, winds in the 25mph area with stronger gusts. So I think bad weather + road game + Gore rolling = money

In the second half of the season he's only thrown for over 28 attempts once. 12/3 against NO he threw for 29, and last week against GB he threw 28. He has thrown for 31, 40, and 46 attempts, but they were early in the season against the Raiders, Cards, and Chargers before Gore really got going

[03 Z4]

[ QUOTE ]
12/13/06 Thursday night game
SF@Sea Player Prop
Alex Smith U28.5 attempts (-120) Bodog
2 units


[/ QUOTE ]

Didn't know why I didn't check on this earlier when I found out weather will be bad. Thx for pointing it out!!!

[Spellmen]

12/13/06 Thursday night game
SF at Sea Player Prop
Alex Smith U28.5 attempts (-120) Bodog
2 units

WIN and a win for my Niners so extra sweet money
+1.67 units

Was a little worried early since I thought they were throwing too much on first down, but he ended up with 25 attempts for the game

NBA YTD: 1-1 +0.82 units

NFL YTD: 2-0 +2.58 units

[03 Z4]

[ QUOTE ]
12/13/06 Thursday night game
SF at Sea Player Prop
Alex Smith U28.5 attempts (-120) Bodog
2 units
Was a little worried early since I thought they were throwing too much on first down, but he ended up with 25 attempts for the game


[/ QUOTE ]

I bet big here cause of weather report, I was not happy when rain suddenly "stopped" at start of game.

Once 49ers were up 10-7, I was rooting for them to score more as that lessen chance of Smith throwing even though I had Sea in 3 other bets cause win here was bigger than those lost bets.

[bylanta]

I was in the same boat, had hawks in other bets, but that alex smith under helped me out a ton. nice call.