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#1
08-12-2007, 09:22 AM
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NL50: 99 versus lag villain
Villain is LAG or complete donkey with 69/20/4.5 over 80 Hands.
Ultimate Bet No-Limit Hold'em, $.50 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> BB ($53.55) Hero ($55.65) MP ($53.60) Button ($55.45) SB ($46.50) Preflop: Hero is UTG with 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]. <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1.75</font>, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $6</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, Hero calls $4.25. Flop: ($12.75) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $12.75</font>, Hero ??? 
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#2
08-12-2007, 09:59 AM
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Re: NL50: 99 versus lag villain
with those stats you could be up against a lot of hands that beat you ... although it might be a bluf also ... who knows with those stats.
your only options are fold or shove here. with that action from a LAG player it will likely end up all in anyway. without more specific reads I will fold this and wait for a safer chance. you are in for 12BB so far ... not really worth risking the remaining 99BB.
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#3
08-12-2007, 10:25 AM
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Re: NL50: 99 versus lag villain
Well, even a LAG can have a hand once in awhile. With that big a raise and pot size bet on flop, I think it's time to pack it in and wait for another spot. If you call or rr, you are then pot committed so you might as well shove. But I would fold here.
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#4
08-12-2007, 01:13 PM
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Re: NL50: 99 versus lag villain
Has he been reraising preflop a lot? If not then he probably has AA,KK,QQ,AK you only beat one of these, fold and wait for better spot.
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#6
08-12-2007, 02:01 PM
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Re: NL50: 99 versus lag villain
I would fold. It looks too much like an overpair betting big against a very wet board. If I was feeling loose I might call then shutdown on turn.
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#8
08-12-2007, 02:43 PM
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Re: NL50: 99 versus lag villain
[ QUOTE ]
all depends on how much ha she been 3betting [/ QUOTE ] This is true. His PFR was 20 hmm... If he had been re-raising pre-flop with most of this range you probably would have noticed. Otherwise he's cold calling all of his marginal hands and only re-raising his good ones (TT+,AQs+,AKo). You also have to remember that he's re-raising an UTG raiser. He probably has AQs+ and AKo about 33% here which is not enough.
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