#1
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50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?
Villians stats don't really matter, im just looking for whether I have the correct odd's to call. What is the actual math process do I go through when calculating whether this call is +EV
Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players LegoPoker Hand History Converter UTG: $64 MP: $6.65 CO: $32.70 Hero (BTN): $63.65 SB: $29.25 BB: $58.25 Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN) UTG folds, MP calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $3</font>, SB folds, BB calls $2.50, 2 folds Flop: ($7.25) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $4.50</font>, BB calls $4.50 Turn: ($16.25) 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players) BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $11</font>, <font color="red">BB raises to $24</font>, Hero????? |
#2
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Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?
Count your outs, I doubt an ace is good, so we have 9 outs. With the Four by Two rule, we have around 18-20% equity.
There's 24 + 11 + 4.5 + 4.5 + .5 +.5 + 3 + .25 + 3 = 51.25, and we have to call 13. 13:51 = 1:4 = 20%. So we do have odds to call if we think he's gonna stack off on the river. |
#3
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Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?
deleted, you don't want help
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#4
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Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?
52 in the pot 13 to call. Pot odds are 4/1. You need 4/1 to break even.
If you hit and get money in on the river it is +EV |
#5
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Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?
we're calling 13 into 50, so getting 3.84:1. Presuming the 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] aren't clean outs we have 7 outs that means we hit a heart 1 out of 6.5 times, correct?
But factoring in his remaining stack on the river its fine yeah? |
#6
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Re: 50nl, turn gets CRed, but i have the right odds to call, yes?
[ QUOTE ]
we're calling 13 into 50, so getting 3.84:1. Presuming the 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] and 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] aren't clean outs we have 7 outs that means we hit a heart 1 out of 6.5 times, correct? But factoring in his remaining stack on the river its fine yeah? [/ QUOTE ] I'd count the board-pairing hearts as 1/2 outs because we can't be absolutely certain he has a set. So even with 8 outs we're getting close to enough odds to call if we get paid off decently well on the river (we should if he has a big hand) |
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