Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Micro Stakes

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 11-30-2007, 07:39 AM
squidladder squidladder is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 115
Default KK is 3bet allin to CB

No reads on villain only 15 hands and haven't seen him do anything bad.
Would he play QJ or a set this way or is a nut flush draw the most likley hand

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $50
UTG+1: $136.40
CO: $19.20
Button: $34.55
Hero: $54.90
BB: $92.55

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG (poster) checks, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises to $2.25</font>, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $6</font>, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($13, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $12</font>, <font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 raises all-in $130.4</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero ???
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 11-30-2007, 07:44 AM
youngmachetes youngmachetes is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: korriban
Posts: 456
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

i 3-bet bigger pf. to answer your question, he does play sets/2pair/nfd like this i would imagine. give him a range of likely hands that he calls 3bets w/. QQ/JJ are two strong candidates.


edited bc i misread HH.
also, what are hero's stats?
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 11-30-2007, 07:58 AM
squidladder squidladder is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 115
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

only 15 hands like 15/10
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 11-30-2007, 09:13 AM
patrick10 patrick10 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 239
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

unfortunate there are no reads but lets see.
I don't think you can say that a nut FD is the most likely hand.


He opens PF and calls your 3 bet, so if villain is good/ tight, I would put his range at:
TT-QQ; AA; AQ; AK

in which case, you are

Hand 0: 56.116% 56.00% 00.12% 21066 45.00 { KhKs }
Hand 1: 43.884% 43.76% 00.12% 16464 45.00 { AA, QQ-TT, AQs+, AQo+ }

unless i screwed up the stoving, you have an equity edge and should CALL

When we widen his FLOP range to 77- QQ; AA; AQ; AK; ;KQdd; QJs; KJs; AdXd, your equity actually increases a bit to 59%

SO i think a CALL is in order here pretty much ALWAYS, even if it does feel very much like a set. The exceptions i think would be reads on how he plays big hands/ big draws or if you are playing a super nit.

I think hands like TT-QQ and even AA are MUCH more likely to be his hands then QJ after the PF action. Though against QJ you actually aren't doing too badly with alot of 2 pair outs. The only 1 pair hands he has would probably include pair+ draw hands so it IS quite close, but i think given you have committed 1/3 of your stack, you should commit and you will win enough from the times your hand stands up.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 11-30-2007, 09:14 AM
YesMehFriend YesMehFriend is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 273
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

3bet pre should be larger, ~8.
If he does this only with sets (77/jj/QQ), 2p or AQ you get the odds to call. Add now maybe KQ or even more hands since he's virtually unknown (I've seen ppl do this with AK ...).


Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

36,630 games 0.005 secs 7,326,000 games/sec

Board: Qd 7d Jc
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 38.164% 36.87% 01.29% 13507 472.50 { KhKs }
Hand 1: 61.836% 60.55% 01.29% 22178 472.50 { JJ+, 77, AQs, QJs, AQo, QJo }
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 11-30-2007, 10:26 AM
patrick10 patrick10 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 239
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

yeah woops made his flop range way too wide but i think its still call

yeah woops made his flop range way too wide but i think its still call

edit. yehs: i dont think we can include 2 pair hands Q7/ J7 that is stretching it according to PF i think.

i stoved basically the worst hands we can be up against,

AA,QQ-JJ,77,AdKd,AQs,AdJd,AdTd,Ad9d,QJs,Td9d,QJo

We are a 72- 28 (2.5 :1) DOG

and we need to call ~$37 to win ~$110 so its pretty close but a call. This was the worst case hands we are up against.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 11-30-2007, 10:34 AM
Spurious Spurious is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,575
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

I think we have to add KQ, AK diamonds, T9 diamonds

and yes i stack off here
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 11-30-2007, 10:38 AM
meleader2 meleader2 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Apr 2005
Posts: 3,900
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

[ QUOTE ]
I think we have to add KQ, AK diamonds, T9 diamonds

and yes i stack off here

[/ QUOTE ]

i think that's horrible. no reads. UTG raiser. and lol at making &gt; pot 3bet preflop, wtf? is that going to make QQ not call?
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 11-30-2007, 10:40 AM
Spurious Spurious is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 1,575
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think we have to add KQ, AK diamonds, T9 diamonds

and yes i stack off here

[/ QUOTE ]

i think that's horrible. no reads. UTG raiser. and lol at making &gt; pot 3bet preflop, wtf? is that going to make QQ not call?

[/ QUOTE ]

UTG raiser might raise because someone posted...
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 11-30-2007, 10:42 AM
jackatwork jackatwork is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 37
Default Re: KK is 3bet allin to CB

I think this is a standard, but high variance spot to stick your money in on. Without having pokerstove at the office, my gut feeling is that overall you're going to be right around a coinflip with his range, which is going to include a lot of draws. You're getting a good enough overlay to go for it. I would have 3bet bigger preflop though, don't give odds to call with a small pair for set value.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:32 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.