BCS Bowl Matchups Speculation

[BobJoeJim]

[ QUOTE ]
according to the math here, it's Ohio State and LSU as the two leaders

Of course, Ohio State is the only team that outperformed what one would expect from a #2 team. Every other team underperformed.

+/- compared to a #2
Ohio State +0.212W 0.899p
LSU -0.259W 0.866p
USC -0.263W 0.855p
Georgia -0.288W 0.857p
V Tech -0.577W 0.891p
Oklahoma -0.628W 0.895p

that looks at only wins and losses directly
of course, I'd think margin of victory favors Ohio St and LSU even more

[/ QUOTE ]
I love your blog, but can you include Kansas please? Also, the difference between -.259 and -.288 is small enough that while I think your numbers are enough to eliminate VT and Oklahoma from contention, I think you need to turn to other methods to differentiate between LSU, USC, and Georgia.

[Jules22]

lsu vs ohio state is what it should be, even if Georgia is playing better right now - how can you have a team play for the title if they didnt even win their division? If it is Va Tech i would be mad if i was a LSU fan, they beat VA tech 44-7 or whatever it was in week 2.

im rooting for Georgia, that would really put a turd in the bcs punch bowl

[Francis_MH]

[ QUOTE ]
lsu vs ohio state is what it should be, even if Georgia is playing better right now - how can you have a team play for the title if they didnt even win their division? If it is Va Tech i would be mad if i was a LSU fan, they beat VA tech 44-7 or whatever it was in week 2.

im rooting for Georgia, that would really put a turd in the bcs punch bowl

[/ QUOTE ]

Its happened before...remember Nebraska?

2001-02 season

These BCS bowl games were played following the 2001 regular season

* Tuesday, January 1, 2002 - Tostitos Fiesta Bowl: Oregon (Pac-10 champion) 38, Colorado (Big 12 champion) 16
* Thursday, January 3, 2002 - Rose Bowl Game presented by AT&T (National Championship): Miami (FL) (BCS #1, Big East champion) 37, Nebraska (BCS #2) 14

[BobJoeJim]

Well, with Hawaii-Washington tied, I guess I should throw out my alternate possibility... if Hawaii does win. I would then project:

BCSCG: Ohio State vs. LSU
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Illinois
Fiesta Bowl: Oklahoma vs. West Virginia
Orange Bowl: Virginia Tech vs. Kansas
Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs. Hawaii