$16 draw in a limped pot

[RexWoo]

Hi,

PokerStars Tournament, Big Blind is t200 (6 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t4500)
UTG+1 (t1790)
CO (t3045)
Button (t1610)
SB (t440)
Hero (t2115)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG calls t200, <font color="gray">UTG+1 folds</font>, <font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, <font color="gray">SB folds</font>, Hero checks

Flop: (t500) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, UTG checks

Turn: (t500) K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="red">UTG bets t200</font>, Hero calls t200

River: (t900) J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
<font color="red">Hero bets t600</font>, <font color="red">UTG raises to t1200</font>, <font color="gray">Hero folds</font>

villain is a roughly 30/0.
Bet the flop ? Fold the turn ? c/f river ?

[PokahPokah]

i play it the same but c/f river

[Finnisher]

I c/f every street [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

[RexWoo]

[ QUOTE ]
I c/f every street [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

We're getting 3.5:1 on the turn and he has air a good % of the time imo. No ?

[Finnisher]

True, but cos I'd never bluff the river I can't call the turn. If you bluff maybe you can call but I'm not sure you should bluff.

[MatteyA28]

I'd lead this flop for 300. A 30/0 villain is on a wide range of hands, most of which missed, and it makes him pay if he has a flush draw. As played I'm folding the turn. His bet is either a caught king, a made flush or a bluff. If he will bluff the turn after flop weakness a lot I'd raise all in, otherwise fold.