#1
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quick question for you football ousider guys
is weighted DVOA a better indicator a teams current strength than overall DVOA? instinctively i would say yes, but i want to make sure.
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#2
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
Yes. It tosses out earlier games, so if you believe that what a team has done in the past couple of months is more important than what they did in September and such, then yes.
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#3
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
Vyse,
Does this weight for injury, personnel changes etc? |
#4
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
[ QUOTE ]
Yes. It tosses out earlier games, so if you believe that what a team has done in the past couple of months is more important than what they did in September and such, then yes. [/ QUOTE ] well it doesnt actually toss them out. |
#5
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
[ QUOTE ]
is weighted DVOA a better indicator a teams current strength than overall DVOA? instinctively i would say yes, but i want to make sure. [/ QUOTE ] It's a better predictor of future success, so yes. |
#6
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
[ QUOTE ]
Vyse, Does this weight for injury, personnel changes etc? [/ QUOTE ] No, for various reasons. It just increases the relative importance of recent games in the rating. |
#7
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Yes. It tosses out earlier games, so if you believe that what a team has done in the past couple of months is more important than what they did in September and such, then yes. [/ QUOTE ] well it doesnt actually toss them out. [/ QUOTE ] Actually, it does toss them out. |
#8
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
[ QUOTE ]
Vyse, Does this weight for injury, personnel changes etc? [/ QUOTE ] Right now, adjusting for injury is asking a bit much of a statistical system. |
#9
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
by the way, read the FO FAQ. Lot of good stuff in there.
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#10
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Re: quick question for you football ousider guys
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Vyse, Does this weight for injury, personnel changes etc? [/ QUOTE ] Right now, adjusting for injury is asking a bit much of a statistical system. [/ QUOTE ] I was asking for the same adjustment more or less. Like if Peyton goes down... could you plug it in and pull out a new DVOA value that would be accurate. Seems like the answer is no, thanks for the help. |
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