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#1
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
ok, im a total sportsbetting fish, but if we look at all these pics and bet on only the games that most of these guys agree on, do you think it would be +ev?
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#2
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
probably not.
but even if you tried it would be difficult to determine what 'most' means because there are so many of these guys. Now if you wanted to do something like just taking 10 of the more popular guys or just 10 guys you like and seeing who they favor then I still think you won't do very well. These guys come to some wacky conclusions. Adding them all together doesn't make them any less wacky. If anything, I wonder if taking the opposite of their majority pick might have value in a pseudo-related BSP kind of way but I kind of doubt that to similar to fgators silly idea of fading the newspaper columnists' picks that he posted awhile back. |
#3
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
I gots me some Rutgers. de iz goot.
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#4
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
[ QUOTE ]
If anything, I wonder if taking the opposite of their majority pick might have value in a pseudo-related BSP kind of way but I kind of doubt that to similar to fgators silly idea of fading the newspaper columnists' picks that he posted awhile back. [/ QUOTE ] Opposing majority = -EV Opposing unanimous consent = likely +EV |
#5
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
[/ QUOTE ] Opposing majority = -EV Opposing unanimous consent = likely +EV [/ QUOTE ] im not so sure oppsing the Majority is -EV Most of these guys are Awful and thats one of the reasons im exposing them. |
#6
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
For argument sake i will keep my plays seperate from this site then my year total.
1-0 YTD +2 units. Tonights Play 2 Units on GB +7 (even though i hate brandon lang i have to agree with him tonight.) |
#7
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
You have Lang's write up?
Those are always fun to look at before and after the game. (He usually loses so its fun to laugh at his bold claims) |
#8
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
i dont hide anything if i have it i paste it
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#9
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
[ QUOTE ]
ok, im a total sportsbetting fish, but if we look at all these pics and bet on only the games that most of these guys agree on, do you think it would be +ev? [/ QUOTE ] NOT A GOOD IDEA. |
#10
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Re: NOV 29th Premium Service Plays
pnbkid are you actually dino/goldengreek or are you just copy/paste his thread? not that i care but these kind of threads appeal to a certain kind of posters, just look at the freaks @therx.
You might want to put up a disclaimer for newbies how some of the services get to their "amazing" records. Grading picks not @ wa lines but the best line available at the day. Not counting in juice etc... |
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