NL 10 - QQ faces reraise on flop

Basketgutt · #1 05-19-2007, 12:23 PM

Villain is 17.5/16/2.5 over 41 hands. He seems pretty solid imo. Some hands ago he called a 6 dollar bluff with AK on a JhJsAh6s board.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.10 BB (6 handed) Hand History Converter from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

UTG ($8.90)
Villain ($20.10)
CO ($6.15)
Hero ($16)
SB ($9.90)
BB ($10.50)

Preflop: Hero is Button with Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, Villain calls $0.10, 1 fold, Hero raises to $0.4, 2 folds, Villain calls $0.30.

Flop: ($0.95) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Villain checks, Hero bets $0.6, Villain raises to $2.2, Hero calls $1.60.

I bet 2/3 pot, and he checkraises me. Should I believe he has a better hand at this point? Call and see what he do on the turn?

Turn: ($5.35) 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
Villain bets $3.3, Hero calls $3.30.

Okey, seems like he have a hand.. Should I fold now?

River: ($11.95) 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 players)
Villain bets $14.2 (All-In), Hero ?

What can we put him on here? My thoughts is that he has a set. He would've reraised with AA-KK, and he can lay down AK. I don't think he has the flush either..

Any comments?

Yaboosh · #2 05-19-2007, 12:34 PM

I push the turn. That card helps you out and protects you against his T8, and T9, TJ, TQ, TK, TA, a club draw, a straight draw are all very possible.

Gullanian · #3 05-19-2007, 01:26 PM

I'd re-raise flop.

NameAgame · #4 05-19-2007, 02:15 PM

By his river overbet/push it looks like he floped a set and thought u were on a flush draw

cooker3 · #5 05-19-2007, 02:48 PM

It looks like he has a set to me most likely, he is playing it very strongly, usually I find a push means a monster so I fold

RandomHand · #6 05-19-2007, 03:33 PM

First, you must RR the flop. Hell, even the turn. You just missed too many opportunities to close it out.

He could have a set of any kind, His flop ReRaise may be a semi-bluff of sorts where he puts you on unpaired overcards, yet he has a flush draw. The turn 3 could be used by him as more of the same, utilising the scare card although it's less believable, due to the fact that not many people will RR on the flop with bottom pair.

However, I'm inclined to fold here, too many cards beat you.

Basketgutt · #7 05-19-2007, 03:40 PM

Reraise preflop? I'm the one who are raising, villain just calls =)

Seeeno · #8 05-19-2007, 03:53 PM

41 is pretty small
If you had the same stats over say 1k hands ... I'd say:
His preflop calling range is VERY tight.
Almost allways if he want to play he raises. (16 of 17.5)
So he almost always have marginal hands.
I dont think he has T8 here, even if its suited it would not fit his stats.
Maybe JTs, he C/R you to protect b/c he is thinking you just done an ordinary c/bet.
AT is unlikly due the preflop limp.
same for KT or QT (I think he would either raise or fold QT pre)
So what could he have else ? An overpair ? ... JJ QQ KK AA all unlikly due the limp/call preflop.
79s and such crap is very unlikly to with 17 VPIP
I guess he has some kind of pocket pair.
22-77, IMO is 88 to unlikly.
So he may has a set of treys, or trys some wired move versus you with a hand like pocket fives/sixes.

He limps, then calls for setvalue.
He checks the flop, you make your ordinary c/bet, he could think you missed the flop with overcards and raise you for that reason. You call his tiny raise, the flop "blanks" if you're on two overcards, and he might think he "still" is ahead ... and bets another one ... you call and he gives up, but then his moneycard hits and he pushes.

lol, seems not that likly, but its possible ...

Basketgutt · #9 05-19-2007, 04:08 PM

Hmm.. I like your thoughts, and as I said in the post: He seems pretty solid, and I think that his stats over 40 hands, would be the same over more hands. I haven't seen him do any mistakes while I played with him.