Wanted to know odds of something

[Jared511]

The other day my friend and I were playing in a 1-2NL game in Atlantic City. We saw the following happen.

Guy flopped quads with pocket 3's. Very next hand he turns quads with pocket kings, and loses that hand to a royal flush. I am wondering what the specific odds would be that we would ever see that happen again. Same guy gets quads back to back, and loses with the 2nd one to a royal flush. Any ideas?


Thanks
Jared

[jay_shark]

This should be posted in the probability forum .

In order for a player to flop quads , he needs to be dealt a pocket pair which is 78/1326 , and he needs 2 more cards and a third card (48 of them )to be dealt on the flop .

78/1326*48/50c3 ~ 0.00014405

The probability he gets quads twice on the flop is (0.00014405)^2 ~ 0.00000002075.

The probability he flops quads twice and loses to a straight flush on the second hand is much lower than that number above .

Does he flop quads twice or does he ever hit his quads on the turn or river ?

[Jared511]

sorry didn't even see the probability forums. He flops quads the first time, the very next hand he turns quads with KK. The other guy rivers a royal flush to beat him. So I am kinda trying to figure out the odds of the combination happening. Flop quads, next hand get quads again and lose to a royal. Is it like 1 in a billion?

Thanks

[jay_shark]

It will be more rare than 1 in a billion that those specific events will happen again .

[bustufools]

[ QUOTE ]
It will be more rare than 1 in a billion that those specific events will happen again .

[/ QUOTE ]

Ya those hands back to back are pretty much unheard of and then the quads getting beat by a Royal??? WHOOOOOOOAAAAAAAAAAA

[Perestroika]

I played like 3000 hands today and I think I had trips twice.

[SodaSurfer]

A bit off topic, but did the Quads vs. RF qualify for a Bad Beat Jackpot? Oh! the pain for the person with Quads if it didn't!