10nl do we fold a set here?

[HANABI]

I think i would raise a bit more on the flop. Suppose we know he has a flush draw (25% equity vs your set), all you have to do is make him put in more than 25% of his remaining stack on the flop and you can call a heart turn profitably knowing that even if he has a flush, in the long run you will still make money. That's not counting the fact that you will boat up 22% of the time. So if he has $8.70 left, i'd like a flop reraise to $3.75 instead of $3.30. As played call and i dont think its close.

[ShipitFMA]

XhJ is playing it the same, i snapcall

[rrrorrim]

[ QUOTE ]
villain's action on the flop screams FD IMO.

[/ QUOTE ]

Agreed... Villain probably wouldn't call like that with backdoor flush draw.

However, villain might well have something like KJo -- the King being a hearts.

[rrrorrim]

Sweet... guess I'm not the only one who thinks A/K + J

[yegon]

[ QUOTE ]
XhJ is playing it the same

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including the minraise/call on the flop? doesn't the flop action look more like a draw?

seeing the other reply's I think calling is not bad though.

Would this change if both had $10 more dollars behind to bet on the river?

[rrrorrim]

[ QUOTE ]
including the minraise/call on the flop? doesn't the flop action look more like a draw?

[/ QUOTE ]

Now that you bring it up, I would say J with Qh kicker. Possibly Kh. Villain is acting like she has top pair but is wary because Hero's play makes it seem like he has top pair with high kicker or a high pocket pair.

I'm not so sure she had two hearts... because look at the change in personality on the turn. It's like she was indecisive at having a lower kicker (apparently) than Hero, and the potential for a flush pushed her over the edge and made her very aggressive.

[KRE8R]

At NL10 he is doing this with so many hands you are ahead of. Plus even if he did make a flush you still have outs. This seems like a definite call.

[kroeliewoelie]

Nice analysis willyc, I agree it's marginal. But the fact that the turn card is 2h, which does not help any hand besides the flushdraw, makes me lean towards folding. If the turn card were Ah, this would be very, very different.

[jocke4]

I would call here all day, spike the freaking 8 on the river.
boom.

[pdoran10]

this is a call. we are likely still ahead of his shoving range, and if we arent, we have equity, so this is a snap call.