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#1
05-03-2007, 12:06 PM
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combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
villain is 24/14/2 tag
is this a call or should i let it go ? Full Tilt No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums) MP ($51.05) Button ($27.75) Hero ($47.15) BB ($25.35) UTG ($22.20) Preflop: Hero is SB with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $1</font>, Hero calls $0.90, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>. Flop: ($2.25) 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font> Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">Button bets $2</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $6</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to $28.75 (All-In)</font>, Hero ??? 
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#2
05-03-2007, 12:12 PM
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Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
I think you should fold, the power of your hand is that you have fold equity when you are the one that pushes all in, in this situation I think you are looking at a set most of the time.. So I think it is ok to fold here especially against a tag villian
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#3
05-03-2007, 12:16 PM
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Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
Easy fold IMO. Villain is playing this like a set or overpair. I think his range here is 44,88,TT+. He's trying to protect his hand from the FD. You aren't getting odds to call this.
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#4
05-03-2007, 12:21 PM
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Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
There's enough money already in the pot that calling this is more or less neutral EV. 1.62:1 -> 1/1+1.62 -> need 38% to call, you have 9 flush outs, we ignore your overs that might be good vs part of his range and ignore his redraw outs to compensate, 9x4 is 36%.... close enough. Fold, call... it doesn't really matter.
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#5
05-03-2007, 12:38 PM
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Re: combo draw facing all in push on flop NL25
[ QUOTE ]
There's enough money already in the pot that calling this is more or less neutral EV. 1.62:1 -> 1/1+1.62 -> need 38% to call, you have 9 flush outs, we ignore your overs that might be good vs part of his range and ignore his redraw outs to compensate, 9x4 is 36%.... close enough. Fold, call... it doesn't really matter. [/ QUOTE ] agreed. however, i think you make life a lot easier 3 betting PF. Leading flop and if raised 3 bet shoving like a bully.
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