Pirateboy's NCAAF Conquest - Week 8

[pirateboy]

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Added:

Utah @ New Mexico O41 1unit

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To steal a phrase from MT2R

Winner
winner
chicken dinner

[MyTurn2Raise]

gosh...I'm on nearly all of these, too.

I wonder if our forum has some perverse groupthink going on.

[BobJoeJim]

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gosh...I'm on nearly all of these, too.

I wonder if our forum has some perverse groupthink going on.

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Clearly we're all just geniuses. Duh. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[MyTurn2Raise]

yeah...my barely above breakeven results proves it

[pirateboy]

Added:

MTSU (-3.5) @ UL-Monroe
--Was hoping this would go lower. MTSU looks like one of the 2 best teams in the Sun Belt and ULM looks to be one of the worst 6 teams in the country. MTSU should win by 10 plus.

Alabama @ Tennessee O43.5
--This is a complete flip from last season. Last year's game totalled (sp?) 9 points, but the teams have both had average defenses so far, and both passing attacks are good. Tennessee should hit 30+ and Alabama will hit at least 20. I see a 34-20 game here.

South Carolina @ Vanderbilt U41
--South Carolina hasn't scored well on the road, and Vandy's D is better than normal. Newton could ruin the under if he runs a lot, but I expect Vandy LB J. Goff (love this kid) to be able to contain him as a spy. I see a 5-6 point value here, with a SC win 21-13 game.

Georgia Tech @ Clemson O46.5
--GT's offense has looked very good recently, and Clemson's stats on both sides have been helped by playing numerous patsies. Still, Clemson will score. I actually feel like there is a strong strong value here. Clemson gave up 34 to BC and GT is comparable, IMO. GT gave up 27 to VT and 23 to Maryland, and Clemson is better than both on offense. I see a 31-24 game or thereabouts.

Boston College @ Florida State O41.5
--BC has a good offense and even though Ryan is hobbling, I think he'll still guide them to 20-24 points. FSU's offense has looked better against the weaker defenses, but don't expect a huge dropoff: BC isn't great on defense either. I really don't know who's going to win this game, but a close 27-24 game could happen, and while I didn't consider this as even more value, but I do now: this game could very well be an OT game.

All 1 unit, except Alabama/Tennessee OVER which is 2 units.

[pirateboy]

Added:

West Virginia (-11 2nd half) @ Connecticut

[pirateboy]

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Added:

West Virginia (-11 2nd half) @ Connecticut

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Loser loser turkey chooser?

Anyway, I'm more than happy to lose this 1 unit bet because I won my 5 unit -19.5 bet. Hooray for betting more units!

[silentbob]

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Yeah, that would definitely hurt their chances if he doesn't play. I guess he was in a walking cast yesterday but practiced (noticeably favored the non-injured leg). I think the majority of their offense is the passing game. But if it actually hits 7 I might throw a unit on it.

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Rotoworld says Ryan is a game-time decision.

[pirateboy]

Added:

Mississippi State @ Georgia O39
--Georgia's defense was exposed as weak in the secondary the last couple weeks. Miss State can only pass ... nothing else. Should be a nice over here as Georgia gets at least 27. I think Georgia wins 30-16 or in the area.

Miami (OH) @ Akron O47
--More of a system play, but both teams rely on the pass ALOT. Each team rushed for less than 80 yards a game. This is Akron's 2nd home game only, so I think they'll have a lot of confidence, especially after the BYE. The pass defenses rank well enough, but I think they're a little skewed.

Texas A&M @ Oklahoma State U58.5
--Against B12 competition, A&M has scored 27, 21, and 25 points. Oklahoma State should score around the same.

[smbruin22]

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pirateboy, i read and like your stuff (in fact, i'm always going back a number of pages to find it after the games are over)

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like today.... from roughest glance, it looks like you did well...