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  #51  
Old 11-17-2007, 07:22 PM
FastPlaySlow FastPlaySlow is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Here are my picks for tomorrow, I feel they are very strong.

St. Louis (-2.5)
Cleveland (-2.5)
Tampa Bay (-3)
Pittsburg (-9.5)

---------------

The matchups:

St. Louis vs SF
Cleveland vs Baltimore
Tampa Bay vs Atlanta
Pittsburg vs Jets
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  #52  
Old 11-17-2007, 07:35 PM
MacGuyV MacGuyV is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]
What are the arguments for betting Arizona +3?

[ QUOTE ]
Even before I started to play poker I always thought there was way too much variance in a single season to analyze the impact of HFA.

[/ QUOTE ]
Football Outsiders calculated it based on home/road DVOA from 1996-2006. Arizona's HFA ranked third behind Kansas City and Minnesota.

[/ QUOTE ]

Cool. Got the complete list? I imagine Buffalo is up there too & Carolina is last.
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  #53  
Old 11-18-2007, 01:02 AM
Murphinator Murphinator is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

I've got...

Cle -2.5, -108
Det ML, +130
KC/Ind U42,+105
Min/Oak U35.5,-102
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  #54  
Old 11-18-2007, 10:35 AM
silentbob silentbob is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]
Cool. Got the complete list? I imagine Buffalo is up there too & Carolina is last.

[/ QUOTE ]
No complete list but the article provides the top 10 and discusses the issue in greater detail here. Buffalo is at #8.
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  #55  
Old 11-18-2007, 11:20 AM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Starting to get the feeling that the whole forum is on the Falcons. I know I am [img]/images/graemlins/ooo.gif[/img]
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  #56  
Old 11-18-2007, 01:07 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Eagles lost to Gradkowski and Young last year, but held them to 210 pass yds combined, however got no INTs and no fumbles - that will change today vs a squad with no Brown and Chambers and John Beck starting on the road. [unless #5 throws 2 INTs for TDs or tears his ACL again.]

Way too many people on Miami in this spot. PHL -9.5 +104 at T/s for 1 unit.
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  #57  
Old 11-18-2007, 01:16 PM
Enrico Pallazzo Enrico Pallazzo is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Does WR S. Smith being out for CAR have a significant impact on how the line should be interpreted?
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  #58  
Old 11-18-2007, 01:20 PM
Lori Lori is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

[ QUOTE ]
Does WR S. Smith being out for CAR have a significant impact on how the line should be interpreted?

[/ QUOTE ]

I personally don't think so as he was questionable anyway and Carolina's problems haven't come from a lack of someone to catch the ball.
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  #59  
Old 11-18-2007, 02:06 PM
1MoreFish4U 1MoreFish4U is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

I am on Phi-9.5, Stl-3 and Hou/NO^48 - GL to all.
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  #60  
Old 11-18-2007, 05:12 PM
kyro kyro is offline
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Default Re: *** OFFICIAL 11/18/07 NFL EARLY GAME THREAD ***

Dolphins +10
push

Texans PK
win

Chiefs +14.5
win

Packers -9.5
win

Vikings -5.5
win

Miami/Philly O40
loss

NO/Houston O47.5
loss

Colts/Chiefs U44.5
win
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