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#21
07-26-2007, 06:08 PM
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Re: 50nl: Bluff this river?
[ QUOTE ]
And I think that's really what sorta makes this situation pretty gray. You haven't defined his possible holdings enough to be able to make a strong case for anything. [/ QUOTE ] He has been frequently donkbetting the turn/river so I think I can safely take strong hands out of his range, which leaves floats, draws, and weak pairs. I think floats and draws are more likely than weak pairs because of the lack of a donkbet anywhere in this hand. I think he is folding all his missed draws just because he is that straightforward. If I have a hand like KQ I definitely check behind because I beat a lot of the hands he could be drawing with. Since 76s beats virtually none of those missed draws, I think a bet works here. 
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#22
07-26-2007, 06:09 PM
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Re: 50nl: Bluff this river?
[ QUOTE ]
This is an interesting point, IMO. If he is cannot read the board bad and has no concept of anything I do think that if he is folding he will fold to half pot same % or close enough as like a $2 bet. [/ QUOTE ] I agree. I think if I bluff here I'd like it to be half pot or slightly less though just so he thinks twice about calling with A5 or something.
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