#1
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NL200: VB river or induce bluff?
Villain is a regula: 22/15/1.8 - 7K hands.
I'm leaning towards VB given this guy is thinking: 1) likely won't fall for the bluff inducement 2) likely would've raised a better hand at some point 3) likely isn't tricky/agro enough to bluff raise the river So ...$40 on river? ** Full Tilt Poker No Limit Holdem Ring game Blinds: $1/$2 5 players Converter Stack sizes: Hero: $202.05 CO: $402.30 Button: $238.80 SB: $283.45 BB: $194.65 Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is UTG with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $8</font>, CO folds, Button calls, 2 folds. Flop: 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($19, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $14</font>, Button calls. Turn: 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($47, 2 players) <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $33</font>, Button calls. River: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($113, 2 players) Hero ? |
#2
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Re: NL200: VB river or induce bluff?
nah I wouldnt vb unless he is likely to call a 3rd barrel with KQ here (most regulars sense that TPGK is no good here anymore). So I believe hes not going to call you with worse once more... Id c/c river and maybe Im inducing a bluff or hes betting KQ or whatever.
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#3
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Re: NL200: VB river or induce bluff?
Hmmmm. I think it's close.
Some more info: - I have a v high AF of like 6%, and I'm sure he realizes it. - He has a reasonable (maybe slightly higher) WtSD% of 25%. I just don't see him calling the Turn bet with anything but KQ or a v good draw (which he's more likely to raise on the Flop). I think I'm getting value out of KQ on the river with a small bet (he's not going to bet it if I check). And he really doesn't seem likely to bluff....though I can't rule it out. |
#4
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Re: NL200: VB river or induce bluff?
I like betting 40-50.
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#5
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Re: NL200: VB river or induce bluff?
We should bet here everytime, no matter what we have, and probably like $55.
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#6
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Re: NL200: VB river or induce bluff?
block bet his ass in the end check the turn (discuss) |
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