AA line check/river?

[blackize]

Villain is 38/14/1.06 over a smallish 55 hands. Street by street aggression is 1.0/.67/5 he's got 48% went to showdown

Street by street fold to bet is 9.09/3.64/1.82

Getting ~4:1 this is Tx or a worse overpair often enough to call profitably right? How is my line and my betsizing?

No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $83.90
UTG+1: $116.36
CO: $216.35
Hero: $109
SB: $111.93
BB: $196

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, CO folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $5</font>, SB calls, BB folds, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($16, 3 players)
SB checks, UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $15</font>, SB folds, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] ($46, 2 players)
UTG+1 checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $43</font>, UTG+1 calls.

River: 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($132, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets $47</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero ?</font>

[carnivalhobo]

i dont like it but you have to call IMO, best part is you beat flopped 2 pairs now. betsizing is spot on IMO

[Yentz]

You are probably toast, but with these odds you cant lay it down, and in my opinion its not close.

Played fine all the way if you called.

[***]

This looks like a poorly played 89, or maybe diamonds that are afraid you will fold, or a ten making a ridic blocking bet, a smaller overpair hoping to seem like a bluff and get looked up, or even a bluff w/56 or the like. I think you have a slim call; I think you win this in the range of 20-25% of the time, which is about breakeven but when in doubt I like to call.

As said before your bet sizing is good to this point.

[HoldEmNewby]

What is his call%/raise%/fold % on the flop?

We're toast by the river but got to look him up.