NL100: AK IP, TPTK vs. Solid TAG; Call River?

[erazorXP]

Villain is a solid reg, 13/6/3 over 10k+ hands, he sees me as a solid player as well.
I´m 13/9/4 as usual.


PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (7 handed) Poker Stars

UTG ($77.75)
MP1 ($60)
MP2 ($59)
CO ($105.55)
Hero ($100)
SB ($102.15)
BB ($132.85)

Preflop: Hero is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]. MP1 posts a blind of $1.
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, MP1 (poster) checks, MP2 calls $1, CO calls $1, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $7</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO calls $6.

Flop: ($17.50) K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
CO checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $12</font>, CO calls $12.

Turn: ($41.50) 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">CO bets $27</font>, Hero calls $27.

River: ($95.50) 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">CO bets $59.55 (All-In)</font>, Hero ???

[Albert Moulton]

Fold at the river. If he didn't have a flush on the turn, then he probably picked up a full house on the river. I find it highly unlikely that a "solid player" would play KQ or KJ OOP in a raised pot like this against another TAG. He has a set or a flush much more often thean TPWK or less.

In fact, it might be a good idea to fold the turn despite having the NFD and top pair with only one card to go. This guy is certainly representing the flush, and probabably has at least a set. I think I would have played it like you, but if you had a read that villain isn't the kind to play phantom outs for a bluff, then you could probably fold the turn where you don't have good odds to call, and you might not have any implied odds if another spade hits on the river that doesn't pair the board. Plus, if a spade hits that pairs the board and he pushes, then you'd be calling off your stack with the "nut" flush and probably lose anyway.

Anyway, I'd play it like you did, but with a good read on villain you might be able to fold the turn sometimes.

[AlexB182]

Fold river. I'd even think about folding the turn if would not look so horribly weak and I don't want to give villains the impression I can be pushed around when scare cards hit...

[Brimstead]

as albert said, he's highly unlikely to have played a hand you beat in this fashion, you have to fold.

[erazorXP]

I did fold the river. I called the turn b/c of the NFD, and the fact that he couldn´t have called my PFR with Axs. Theres also a small chance i´m still ahead. the only hands he could have called the PFR with representin the flush are QJs, and 78s, but i doubt that he´s calling raises with these holdings OOP. a set seems to be the most likely holding he´s on, 99 or (less possible) 22.

[AlexB182]

[ QUOTE ]
I did fold the river. I called the turn b/c of the NFD

[/ QUOTE ]

Ugh, lately I'm stupid and unobservant like a horny chimp. Sorry...

[AllTheCheese]

13/6/3 is a rock. He needs a better hand than yours to take this line.