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  #1  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:11 AM
betgo betgo is offline
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Default Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

4 players remaining for 3 seats in $800 satellite into major tournament.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t12000 (4 handed) internettexasholdem.com

BB (t53891)
UTG (t131188)
Button (t215508)
Hero (t103413)

Preflop: Hero is SB with K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">1 fold</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Button raises to t214908</font>, Hero ???
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  #2  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:14 AM
Cornell Fiji Cornell Fiji is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

How has the button been playing? How have the other players been playing?
Does the button realize that he can fold into the money?

I probably call here without a huge read.

The seat is locked up if you win this hand and you are probably 70% to win the hand. What do you think your odds of winning are if you keep folding?

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  #3  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:24 AM
Bakes Bakes is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

i dont think you can pass this spot up, i certainly wouldn't.

edit : upon further reading, it seems teh BB only has 53k before posting. now its waaaaaay closer and probably a fold...no clue now.
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  #4  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:38 AM
TwistedEcho TwistedEcho is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

I think i fold [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]
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  #5  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:43 AM
Cornell Fiji Cornell Fiji is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

[ QUOTE ]
I think i fold [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

My main problem with folding this is that it means that you will be folding every hand until the small stack doubles up and with 6000/12000 blinds you will be the short stack if he survives
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  #6  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:48 AM
rothko rothko is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think i fold [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

My main problem with folding this is that it means that you will be folding every hand until the small stack doubles up and with 6000/12000 blinds you will be the short stack if he survives

[/ QUOTE ]

no, because you'll be pushing
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  #7  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:50 AM
AE6 AE6 is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think i fold [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

My main problem with folding this is that it means that you will be folding every hand until the small stack doubles up and with 6000/12000 blinds you will be the short stack if he survives

[/ QUOTE ]
huh? i don't see why it means that. obv we are going to be folding to pushes unless we have AA, but why can't we be making a few well placed pushes of our own? you know, fold equity and all that.
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  #8  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:52 AM
minwoo minwoo is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

Sick spot. You call and win, you're virtually guaranteed a seat. You fold, your best shot is BB blinding away and you or the other two players taking him out. Btw, shortstacks are near impossible to eliminate on the bubble [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]

I call and secure myself a seat into EPT [img]/images/graemlins/cool.gif[/img]
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  #9  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:55 AM
lennytheduck lennytheduck is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

I think it's a call, though obviously a semi-reluctant one.

How long have people been taking to act?
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  #10  
Old 02-15-2007, 12:57 AM
TwistedEcho TwistedEcho is offline
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Default Re: Call allin with KK on satellite bubble?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I think i fold [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

My main problem with folding this is that it means that you will be folding every hand until the small stack doubles up and with 6000/12000 blinds you will be the short stack if he survives

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm not saying i fold every hand, but i'm not sure we need to go to war here with kings. The shortstack is small enough that we can wait a few orbits at least before he gets equal to us (assuming he pushes a few times, and we fold everything and its all preflop poker) and then we can get more active.

Also it would help knowing how the table is playing, if the bigstack is going nuts and running over the table i'll let him do it since its likely one of the other two will take a stand and bust themselves. It also would be nice to know how the other medium stack is playing (if he is likely to make stupid mistakes then i wouldn't think too hard about folding KK).

But yeah, i don't plan to sit here and fold all day, but for now we can fold here i think and see what happens.
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