Into the Asylum Check

[Municipal Hare]

FTP 5/10. Button is a multitabling TAG, 24/17/2.3 (river agg 1.7) over a large sample. No notes.

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is CO with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Button 3-bets</font>, 2 folds, Hero calls.

Flop: T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (7.5SB, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">Button bets</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises</font>, Button calls.

Turn: J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (5.75BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets</font>, Button calls.

River: Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (7.75BB, 2 players)
Hero checks, <font color="#cc0000">Button bets</font>, Hero folds.

[BrassMonkey]

You're 90%+ sure that you're not splitting this pot? I call this every time.

[NinaWilliams]

Cap preflop. This is such a great bluff spot for villain because he knows that you dont have a K. Id call here getting a little over 4-1.

[thepizzlefosho]

cap pf, call the river. sure you he is probably betting for value with the K, but you are chopping enough that it is worth the call.

Put it this way, if I'm villain I bet 100% of my range hoping you fold. So if you think that 30% of villains range doesn't have a K then it is an easy call.

[Municipal Hare]

[ QUOTE ]
You're 90%+ sure that you're not splitting this pot? I call this every time.

[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Id call here getting a little over 4-1.

[/ QUOTE ]
To be fair, it's a shade under 4:1. So &gt;20% of villain's river bets do need to be bluffs.

[Backstabr]

If I'm button, I'm bet-folding almost all my range here because folds like this make it profitable.

BTW, a c/r here would be kinda sexy, but probably just FPS spew.

[BrassMonkey]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You're 90%+ sure that you're not splitting this pot? I call this every time.

[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Id call here getting a little over 4-1.

[/ QUOTE ]
To be fair, it's a shade under 4:1. So &gt;20% of villain's river bets do need to be bluffs.

[/ QUOTE ]

Oh right, split. Duh.

[londomollari]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
You're 90%+ sure that you're not splitting this pot? I call this every time.

[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Id call here getting a little over 4-1.

[/ QUOTE ]
To be fair, it's a shade under 4:1. So &gt;20% of villain's river bets do need to be bluffs.

[/ QUOTE ]

8.75/2 is less than 4? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[Municipal Hare]

[ QUOTE ]
8.75/2 is less than 4? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]
7.75:2. River bets cancel out.