PS $100k AA river decision

[roo400]

[ QUOTE ]
I'm more likely to value shove than just call. How you can argue folding this river is beyond me.

[/ QUOTE ]

You think we are getting paid off with hands such 98-9T+??? I don't think so and that's why I think a call is much better. btw I would never assume this guy has TT-KK. I think we beat enough hands and you only have to have the winner 40% of the time to be a right call.

[gobboboy]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I'm more likely to value shove than just call. How you can argue folding this river is beyond me.

[/ QUOTE ]

You think we are getting paid off with hands such 98-9T+??? I don't think so and that's why I think a call is much better. btw I would never assume this guy has TT-KK. I think we beat enough hands and you only have to have the winner 40% of the time to be a right call.

[/ QUOTE ]

Actually you only have to have a winner 28% of the time to make a call good.

Your hand is ridiculously underrepresented up to this point. A shove is thin but I think most poor players will bet this river for value with 9x.

[bigballz]

[ QUOTE ]

Your hand is ridiculously underrepresented up to this point. A shove is thin but I think most poor players will bet this river for value with 9x.

[/ QUOTE ]
This isn't really directed at you gobbo but I love how the word "spew" has transformed into "thin" on 2+2. This post just made me post it

[roo400]

yea, you're right about the 28%, I thought 4K in 6K! I know most will bet for value 9x, but will they call a push, I'm really not sure. I think the push is -EV

[JSchnett]

I called, he showed JJ and I won.

[omg im l337]

[ QUOTE ]
I called, he showed JJ and I won.

[/ QUOTE ]

After seeing him check the turn and bet the river, I would of called. Glad to see I was right! [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[curtains]

I'd definitely call on the river.