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  #1  
Old 08-31-2007, 10:46 AM
Seikeau Seikeau is offline
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Default Is there any value in betting this river?

I've played around 25 at this table, villain runs a good old 58/14/1.4

I am 80% sure he is drawing with a high spade. But would he pay me of with an AsTx type of hand?

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (5 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

MP ($9.34)
Button ($20.75)
SB ($24.22)
BB ($12)
Hero ($32.27)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to $1</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, SB calls $0.90, <font color="#666666">1 fold</font>

Flop: ($2.25) 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $1.6</font>, SB calls $1.60.

Turn: ($5.45) 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero bets $4</font>, SB calls $4.

River: ($12.70) 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
SB checks, <font color="#CC3333">Hero ?</font>
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  #2  
Old 08-31-2007, 10:49 AM
Jago Jago is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

your converter is weird/broken
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  #3  
Old 08-31-2007, 10:50 AM
Seikeau Seikeau is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

Yeah I see, gonna try and fix it, ty.

edit: fixed it I guess
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  #4  
Old 08-31-2007, 11:20 AM
LethargicMule LethargicMule is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

Sure any T gives you some but most likely a missed flush, make a small valubet and hope T calls.
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  #5  
Old 08-31-2007, 12:37 PM
StubbornRussian StubbornRussian is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

He has bad stats so he might pay you off with his top pair of tens but I am happy just getting two streets here wiht a three flush paired board. I need a better read on the player to go for three streets here.
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  #6  
Old 08-31-2007, 12:54 PM
youngKR youngKR is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

Hes playing the hand way too passively to have any hand that has you beat. Small value bet would be great here. Hes most likely holding onto Tx or a high spade like you said.
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  #7  
Old 08-31-2007, 01:29 PM
Yaboy Yaboy is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

I guess a value bet of $4 would be cool here. Although sometimes in this situation I might bet a little more. Say $10, just because the standard value bet screams "I got you beat, but I want just a little bit more money". Where the $10 bet might seem like your buying the pot, in which case you make a little bit more money vs. his TPTK.
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  #8  
Old 08-31-2007, 04:10 PM
Sense1ess Sense1ess is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

OP, you think villain would play hand this passively with TP/TK+NFD?
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  #9  
Old 08-31-2007, 04:21 PM
orange orange is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

bet the river
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  #10  
Old 08-31-2007, 04:34 PM
Smilin' Smilin' is offline
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Default Re: Is there any value in betting this river?

I'd bet $7 on the river (and fold to a push) unless I think I have a really tight image. I'm not sure you can really be 80% certain he's drawing to a high spade, though it is surely a big part of his range.
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