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#12
08-29-2007, 11:40 AM
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Re: I try a 3barrel bluff deep
[ QUOTE ]
Given description looks like he'll call with JJ or Tx here. I think the commitment decision was made on the turn, and shoving this river has a pretty poor expectation. [/ QUOTE ] This is a good time to be doing this with an overpair and feel good about it. Gotta follow what the players give ya. 
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#13
08-29-2007, 11:50 AM
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Re: I try a 3barrel bluff deep
when he calls the turn, he's not folding the river.
the board doesn't offer a draw until the turn, so i think he's going to show up here with a big hand a lot. tbh, sometimes i give up on the turn here, and if i dont, i bet enough on the turn where my opponent won't be getting a good price on the river if i do decide to fire a third barrell, i.e., he's getting better than 3-1 here, so i think that means 10x is going to be calling basically all the time whereas if he has to call a potsized bet on the river, especially when you started the hand 200 BB deep, you have more fold equity from 10x type hands and pocket pairs (considerably more FE imho).
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#17
08-29-2007, 01:55 PM
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Re: I try a 3barrel bluff deep
[ QUOTE ]
think we can discount AA if hes good, but yeah, TT and 88 look pretty likely. [/ QUOTE ] disagree
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#18
08-29-2007, 01:57 PM
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Re: I try a 3barrel bluff deep
[ QUOTE ]
I think if you are doing this you should bet like $300 on the turn which looks more like a value bet, and so the river shove is bigger [/ QUOTE ] Yea these are my thoughts as well. I like $333ish on turn and shove river if you insist on running a big bluff here. Bet sizing here is pretty bad, and makes this river super awkward.
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#19
08-29-2007, 02:15 PM
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Re: I try a 3barrel bluff deep
[ QUOTE ]
don't bluff paired boards. [/ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ]  [/ QUOTE ]
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