Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Gambling > Probability
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-14-2006, 10:44 PM
J.A.K. J.A.K. is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,639
Default Chances of holding an Ace?

With 2 callers preflop, what are the chances one of them holds an Ace? (I do not hold one)


Is 36% in the ball park?
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-14-2006, 11:49 PM
Copernicus Copernicus is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Posts: 6,912
Default Re: Chances of holding an Ace?

a priori they collectively have 16 "outs" in 50 cards or roughly 32%. (the precise number is (1 - combin(46,4)/combin(50,4)) = 29%.

However the fact that they called narrows their range of hands significantly if they are good players, and Aces may actually compose a much larger percentage of their range of calling hands.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 06:50 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.