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#1
11-04-2007, 08:49 PM
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[$33] 99 - (Not really) Tough Bubble Spot
Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t600 (4 handed) Hand History converter Courtesy of PokerZion.com
saw flop|<font color="#C00000">saw showdown</font> Button (t220) <font color="#C00000">SB (t12160)</font> <font color="#C00000">Hero (t3000)</font> UTG (t4620) Preflop: Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]. <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">SB raises to t1200</font>,<font color="#CC3333"> Hero ?</font> Villian is not ultra-loose but has been atacking my BB the last rounds. His range is about 20%-25% and I think he is calling a push with pretty much every hand --> <font color="red"> NO FoldEquity </font> Is this a +$EV PUSH ? BTW: notice the Ultra-Short Button who will be forced All-In on the next hand ! 
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#6
11-04-2007, 09:02 PM
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Re: [$33] 99 - Tough Bubble Spot
Wow. You are right...
With a 25% range for Villian ONLY AA is good here. With a 45% range it becomes KK as well. I was at my laptop so I couldn't check it with ICMWiz, but now I found the answer. Thx anyways
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#7
11-04-2007, 09:11 PM
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Re: [$33] 99 - Tough Bubble Spot
I think if you maybe had 1500 extra chips - then you could make a case for shoving. You are in a very strong position to make third place and the only way you are going to put it into jeopardy is by shoving this hand.
I don't think calling is so bad in this position, although it is a long shot that you will hit your set I see no reason not to put an extra 600 chips in the pot. You do not significantly weaken your position (you will still have 1500 chips left once you have posted the small blind) in relation to the short stack - who is unlikely to survive the blinds.
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