AKs in Rerasied pot. 160bbs deep - weird line with TPTK.

[cs3]

<font color="blue"> villain is a standard abc 20/15/3 TAG. i have ~500 hands with him and have never seen him do anything out of line or even remotely imaginative. i thought my line would get the most value vs his range, but what do you guys think</font>



Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker Hand History Converter

BB: $60
UTG: $75
MP: $56.35
CO: $130.70
Hero (BTN): $199
SB: $157.60

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
3 folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4</font>, <font color="red">SB raises to $14</font>, BB folds, Hero calls $10

Flop: ($29) A 4[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $18</font>, Hero calls $18
<font color="blue"> I know people are gonna be saying rais raise raise!, but (1) if he has worse Ax most of the money probably goes in somehow anyway and (2) wont calling get more value from 99-KK? </font>

Turn: ($65) T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks
<font color="blue"> ummmmm.... i are so tricky? </font>

River: ($65) 2[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $28</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $56</font>
<font color="blue"> figured this was as good a time as any... thoughts?</font>

[shpanko]

I kind of like this actually. 4-betting pf is also ok but I remember you saying you don't do that so whatev.

[Skleice]

I've been doing this a bit lately and it has been working out nicely. You don't push out weak A and alot of times you get a weaker A trying to push you off of your 'QQ'. If you can just sweat 3 outs from worse A your golden. I guess you could miss value from AQ but does this villain 3bet that?

[Casper05]

I like a larger raise

[cs3]

shove? or less?
what are we putting villain on?

[ikestoys]

[ QUOTE ]
shove? or less?
what are we putting villain on?

[/ QUOTE ]

something that we beat, give him a chance to lose more money, raise before river.

[loosbastard]

[ QUOTE ]
I like a larger raise

[/ QUOTE ]

[cs3]

anyway villain called with AQo and i realize i left quite a bit of money on the table. when he checked the turn i just thought his range was very heavily JJ-KK and thought turn check/river raise was the best way to extract.

[SABR42]

Given your turn check, you need to raise the river bigger. You basically have the nuts, so play it more strongly.

[cs3]

iknow i have the best hand... thats not the issue here at all
the question is:
how often does villain have AJ/AQ vs 99/JJ-KK?
i thouhgt Ax was much less likely after his turn check and then his super weak river bet.

do you guys think KK/QQ call a raise to say 85?