#1
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Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
Hi,
Here's a 5/10 NL hand I played on Party today. I don't have vast stores of mined data, so I'm working on the 100 hands or so that this guy has been at the table. Villain is like 24/24 over that sample. He's reraising pre fairly often, and I haven't taken a stand at all. He hadn't seemed to be targeting me, but he's reraised me off my hand twice in like 5 hands, and this was the third time. I think he's had something decent, since my image is not that of a folder. He has 2000 and I cover. 6 max, 2 folds, I raise to 35 with KK, button calls, he makes it 115 (same as always) from the SB, I reraise to 350, 1 fold, he thinks for not very long and calls. Flop A [img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]J [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] , check, I bet 350 (because I'm dumb) he pushes, I fold. I know this looks fairly straightforward, but here's the thing: I really doubt he has AA or QQ. Because of the recent past, he's gonna put in that 3rd raise with both (esp AA), I think. JJ OOP with a double stack, he probably calls. AK, I honestly think he'd reraise. So, I'm not all that convinced I'm actually beaten here. Still, it seems impossible to find out for a cheap enough cost. Any thoughts? This hand was dull, probably, but it sets the stage for hand 2. Thanks. |
#2
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
People just call here with AA/AK (and even moreso with QQ out of fear of turning their hand into a bluff) waaaay too often for this to be at all close to a call.
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#3
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
If he's been pushing you off hands a lot recently, maybe he thought you were fighting back preflop with a marginal hand, and he wanted to bomb you on a flop with a hand like AK, AQ, or AA, QQ, JJ. I don't think it's unreasonable for him to adjust his play a bit if he thinks that you are getting restless with his aggressiveness in order to trap you
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#4
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
Are the stacks 1k?
And you already put in 700? Folding here is terrible IMO. He couldnt easily have diamonds. |
#5
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
[ QUOTE ]
People just call here with AA/AK (and even moreso with QQ out of fear of turning their hand into a bluff) waaaay too often for this to be at all close to a call. [/ QUOTE ] and not many have the cajones to bluff with a worse hand on that board at 5/10 |
#6
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
[ QUOTE ]
He has 2000 and I cover. [/ QUOTE ] |
#7
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
I often justify these folds by saying to myself "if he has the balls to do this, he deserves the pot".
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#8
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
this is fine dude - maddening, but fine.
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#9
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
u missed the flop check, u know that... i like the size of preflop.
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#10
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Re: Hand 1 of 2 vs same guy
fold is fine, but i think checking behind is prolly the best option
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