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Old 08-22-2007, 08:36 AM
bozzer bozzer is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: in with the 2p2 lingo
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Default Re: $50NL, what\'s the worst hand you call with here?

[ QUOTE ]
Actually on reflection I do technically agree with Poseidon, it's the first hand he's observed villain play so from his point of view villain is more likely to be a maniac (I was thinking 'it's your first hand, not villain's' but of course that doesn't matter)

However, I doubt its being the first hand means that there's a 'good chance' that villain's a maniac, and I think doing this because it's the first hand but folding to exactly the same action had it been one hand later is very thin

Who knows, maybe we need bozzer here for some instareads...

[/ QUOTE ]

yo bozzer's here. ask me anything you want about instareads, i'll be here for an hour.

seriously, taking an instareads approach, i don't think maniacs are common enough to make a light call here given that the raise is UTG.

it being the first hand you've observed does make it more likely that he's a maniac than if you'd seen him fold 1 hand prior to this one, but i agree with members_only that it probably doesn't change much.
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