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Old 07-27-2007, 09:08 AM
hanning hanning is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 96
Default Simple Expected Value Question - which is correct

Situation: AA versus a flush draw in $30-$60 limit hold em with one card left to go $400 in the pot.

9 cards give the flush draw the nuts.

For this case let us assume that the flush draw will call any bet (not raise or fold).

What is the expected value for AA if he bets $60 - equation 1 or 2?

1. EV = (35/44)*(400+60+60) - (9/44)*(60) = $401
2. EV = (35/44)*(400+60+60) - 60 = $353

I think that answer is 1. If 2 is correct please elaborate.

Thanks.
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