AJ i try to bluff a donk

[ejay]

villan is 47/25 over like 400 hands. The trun call is questionable but i made it with the intent of betting river when checked to. I also think that the chance of him having a K is pretty small because i dont think that HE would bet this much...

Party Poker, $1/$2 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $226.15
SB: $201
BB: $198
UTG: $265.20
MP: $175.40
CO: $201.25

Pre-Flop: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (BTN)
UTG folds, <font color="red">MP raises to $8</font>, CO folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $25</font>, 2 folds, MP calls $17

Flop: ($53) K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($53) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">MP bets $50</font>, Hero calls $50

River: ($153) 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
MP checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $101</font>,

[manupod]

Blah, even with your idea of betting the river I think folding the turn is best because:

1. diamonds are obvious
2. we might be drawing dead
3. for the reason you think betting the river when checking to as a bluff is good, we're not going to get paid when we hit often
4. he bets the river

etc etc etc

[sixhigh]

Doesn't look too bad, but I'm afraid this is the kind of player that looks you up on the River with nearly every pair unless a 4th diamond comes. Whether I like your idea on the turn depends too much on his postflop tendencies to give an accurate answer.

[ejay]

i think that vs this specific opponent

1. I think he has diamonds pretty much never because a) he would have led the flop with fd and b) he wouldnt bet that much on the turn. I also think that if the river is a [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and he has one he will call a reasonable bet

2. I really dont think os because i dont think that this guy would play a king like this.

3. fair point

4. If i have eliminated a K/ flush out of most of his range i dont see what he would lead with except as a bluff.

[manupod]

so you're saying you plan on calling a shove on a blank river? or shoving over his lead? both are bad imo. I'd just fold the turn and look for better spots.

[Paul Thomson]

i check river behind and plan on behing ahead

[orange]

fold the turn. you're rarely getting paid when you hit and i doubt your pair outs are clean.

[pineapple888]

[ QUOTE ]
fold the turn. you're rarely getting paid when you hit and i doubt your pair outs are clean.

[/ QUOTE ]

The plan is to float and bet any river.

Could be good. Need postflop stats/reads.