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  #11  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:36 PM
Bob T. Bob T. is offline
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Default Re: AA 1-2

AQ, can't be very far from the bottom of his range. If you said I smell KK, I would be a lot happier. But that isn't what I was smelling.
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  #12  
Old 10-05-2007, 05:44 PM
Bob T. Bob T. is offline
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Default 4%

I know I have a small sample on this guy, but 4% of 1326 is 53.

AA = 6
KK = 6
QQ = 6
JJ = 6
AK = 16
AQ = 16
_____________
total = 56.

If this is his real range, and none of his raises were looser in LP, then which hands do you think he has when he plays this way from EP?
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  #13  
Old 10-05-2007, 07:32 PM
One Outer One Outer is offline
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Default Re: AA 1-2

Hmmpf. Even so (and I'm the king of I-thought-he-had-X-which-he-only-had-a-5%-chance-of-having-so-I-called -down). Seriously, you're behind one hand. We're not threebanging the turn, obv, so just call down. Problem solved. So there.

And congratulations on winning the pot...which I'm pretty sure happened.
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  #14  
Old 10-05-2007, 11:16 PM
Bob T. Bob T. is offline
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[ QUOTE ]
And congratulations on winning the pot...which I'm pretty sure happened.

[/ QUOTE ]

No, i didn't. He had QQ. When he checkraised the flop, my 'set' alarm went off, and I didn't heed it. I was just wondering when other people would slow down.
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  #15  
Old 10-06-2007, 04:28 PM
mongidig mongidig is offline
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Default Re: AA 1-2

Against this opponent I too would be very concerned about him having QQ based on how he played the flop. He didn't cap preflop which I believe makes it more likely he has QQ which is a hand players may not cap with. He probably would have capped with KK. Players like this would usually bet out with AQ or KK and not try to get cute with check-raising against a preflop three better. They may also just check call all the way. That being said, I believe you should still three bet. You still have a horrible player in the hand whom you would like to either eliminate giving you a better chance of winning the hand or make pay to chase you. 100 hands is not quite enough for me to put a definitive read on the UTG+1. IF UTG+1 caps, I would probably just call down. If UTG folds, and UTG+1 just calls, I would check the turn and call the river.

As played, I would fold the turn. Would he play it this way if he had KK or AQ given the aggression you have shown preflop and on the flop. He knows what you have.
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  #16  
Old 10-06-2007, 11:41 PM
slavic slavic is offline
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Default Re: 4%

I would think that AQ and JJ are unlikely raises from this guy EP, and he probably won't be happy playing AQ for 3 bets at all.
That leaves 12 ways for Kings, 2 ways for aces, 6 ways for queens on the flop. Kings probably put in another bet preflop, so caution is waranted.
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