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  #1  
Old 11-18-2007, 04:25 PM
pirateboy pirateboy is offline
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Default NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

Still 4-5 hours away (what time do the lines come out in EST? Sorry, I'm in Arizona and we don't do daylight savings)

I'm more interested in the Missouri/Kansas line than any live ever. If the line is where I think it is, I'm hitting Mizzou for 5u.

Anyway, I think:

Missouri v. Kansas -2
Tennessee @ Kentucky +3
Arkansas @ LSU -12
Alabama @ Auburn -7

I'll guess some others.

I think something we should do next year is also talk about which teams you anticipate betting this week before we see the lines. for example, I fully anticipate getting value on:

LSU
Alabama
Missouri
South Carolina
USC
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  #2  
Old 11-18-2007, 04:54 PM
Austiger Austiger is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

No way the Auburn line is 7. I'd say -4.5 or -5.
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  #3  
Old 11-18-2007, 04:57 PM
pirateboy pirateboy is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

I'd be all over Alabama +7, but I think with Alabama losing to ULM, Vegas knows the public will think they're awful.
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  #4  
Old 11-18-2007, 06:49 PM
iggymcfly iggymcfly is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

Did you intentionally put a plus sign next to Kentucky or was that supposed to be -3? Because at +3, I'd hammer the hell out of UK. I'd probably even bet them at -3.

As for Mizz/Kan, I think we'll see either Missouri -1 or PK.
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  #5  
Old 11-18-2007, 06:54 PM
dankhank dankhank is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

i agree that if missouri opens as a dog, people should bet it. true line imo (based on half-assed watching of both teams) is missouri -3
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  #6  
Old 11-18-2007, 07:09 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

Kansas -3
BC -14.5
Auburn -6
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  #7  
Old 11-18-2007, 07:09 PM
BobJoeJim BobJoeJim is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

I think Kansas should be favored by about 2. I don't know that they *will*, but I disagree with jumping all over Missouri if they're getting points. Unless you're doing it purely to fade the BCS #2 team... in which case you might be on to something.
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  #8  
Old 11-18-2007, 07:13 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

Tennessee @ Kentucky should probably be about a pick. I'll probably be on Kentucky at +3 or better and UT at +4 or better.

Pirateboy, I like you and you're a good poster, but every single one of your UT predictions that I have seen has been shaded towards UT.

When Sagarin has Kentucky 4 better at a neutral, and considering the stinkers UT has put up on the road and the fact they were lucky to beat Vanderbilt at home, proposing UT -3 is pretty absurd.
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  #9  
Old 11-18-2007, 07:22 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

That makes me a sad Panda.
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  #10  
Old 11-18-2007, 07:28 PM
Double suited Double suited is offline
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Default Re: NCAAF Week 13 Early Lines

Lines are out KY -3.5 Auburn -7 and PK Missouri Kansas
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