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#1
10-04-2007, 11:15 AM
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I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
Been AIPF 16 times for full stacks in October, and haven't won one yet. Matchups have been:
AA < KK AA < TT AA < 88 KK < AK x4 KK < KJo QQ < JJ x2 QQ < TT AK < KK x3 AK < QQ x 2 Maybe the virgin I sacrificed to Full Tilt recently wasn't actually a virgin or something, because the poker gods sure are pissed. If someone can tell me the odds of this happening I will videotape myself enthusiastically slitting my wrists and post it on the interwebs. 
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#2
10-04-2007, 11:20 AM
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Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
All in preflop, you either win or you lose, so 50/50.
(0.5)^16 = 0.0000076... or 1 in 130k. Lets say theres 1 million atvie online poker players atm (conservative) So theres you and 7 or 8 others out there, going through this.
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#4
10-04-2007, 11:35 AM
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Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
Almost no chance ...
I am 0/11 on my last allins at FTP. Not as big as favorites as yours, but equally ridiculous that every draw I miss, and every set loses to a rivered straight or overset. Something changed on October 1st ... but everyone dismissed my thread as a joke.
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#5
10-04-2007, 01:00 PM
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Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
[ QUOTE ]
Been AIPF 16 times for full stacks in October, and haven't won one yet. Matchups have been: AA < KK AA < TT AA < 88 KK < AK x4 KK < KJo QQ < JJ x2 QQ < TT AK < KK x3 AK < QQ x 2 Maybe the virgin I sacrificed to Full Tilt recently wasn't actually a virgin or something, because the poker gods sure are pissed. If someone can tell me the odds of this happening I will videotape myself enthusiastically slitting my wrists and post it on the interwebs. [/ QUOTE ] I was bored. It is ~24,450-1 If you knock out the last two lines though, it is ~536,200-1, since you were behind in those.
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#7
10-04-2007, 01:19 PM
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Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Been AIPF 16 times for full stacks in October, and haven't won one yet. Matchups have been: AA < KK AA < TT AA < 88 KK < AK x4 KK < KJo QQ < JJ x2 QQ < TT AK < KK x3 AK < QQ x 2 Maybe the virgin I sacrificed to Full Tilt recently wasn't actually a virgin or something, because the poker gods sure are pissed. If someone can tell me the odds of this happening I will videotape myself enthusiastically slitting my wrists and post it on the interwebs. [/ QUOTE ] I was bored. It is ~24,450-1 If you knock out the last two lines though, it is ~536,200-1, since you were behind in those. [/ QUOTE ] The last lines dont diminish the chance, they actually make it go even higher, even if he was a dog in those, he stood a chance to win once, and the fact that he didnt, wether a fav or a dog to win makes it more unprobable.
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#8
10-04-2007, 01:38 PM
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Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
don't go broke with one pair
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#10
10-04-2007, 03:29 PM
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Re: I\'m 0/16 AIPF for October
[ QUOTE ]
They obviously won't mind if I take them with me. [/ QUOTE ] don't want to minimize your pain, but you should know that at least for today you are +EV in funny, because I almost sent my afternoon tea through my nose when reading this
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