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  #131  
Old 11-24-2007, 03:00 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

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So far I see all of these as current qualifiers

Georgia St. -3
Wis-Mil -2.5


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Nevada-UNLV should be viewed as one of the rare rivalry game nonqualifiers.

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  #132  
Old 11-25-2007, 01:47 AM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

1-1, 14-8 season
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  #133  
Old 11-25-2007, 11:23 AM
silentbob silentbob is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

Anyone taking Central Florida vs. Penn State as a system play? It's a neutral site tournament in Orlando, but UCF is located there too.
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  #134  
Old 11-25-2007, 01:44 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

As I mentioned with the Chaminade pick...there is a certain amount of advantage that is lost in tourneys such as these because PSU has been playing there too and is now very familiar and comfortable with the environment.
I mostly picked Chaminade because I liked them better in that game.

Disney's complex could be 15-20 minutes or so from where UCF would normally play their home games for all I know.
If we officially count Chaminade and Central Florida as being 'home' games because they are 'close enough' then do we also call USC practically a home game because they are playing in a similar tourney in Anaheim and will have most of the fan support?
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  #135  
Old 11-25-2007, 05:11 PM
NajdorfDefense NajdorfDefense is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

Last time we went over this we decided that tourney games NOT in home gym do not count.
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  #136  
Old 11-25-2007, 05:39 PM
mulebennett mulebennett is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

Any games for today? Potential games for tomorrow?
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  #137  
Old 11-25-2007, 09:50 PM
silentbob silentbob is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

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Last time we went over this we decided that tourney games NOT in home gym do not count.

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I clearly missed that discussion. Anyway, I did bet UCF today, and it sorta makes up for my betting Bowling Green at -1 yesterday right before it moved to PK before tip-off.
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  #138  
Old 11-26-2007, 04:59 PM
mulebennett mulebennett is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

I think Akron qualifies... it's a home game vs. Temple and the line is -4.5
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  #139  
Old 11-26-2007, 06:45 PM
MicroBob MicroBob is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

AKR has a kind of small and weird home-court that I think is to their advantage.
I don't know if that aspect actually plays out in the numbers or not, just how it feels to me.
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  #140  
Old 11-26-2007, 07:26 PM
dankhank dankhank is offline
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Default Re: 2007-2008 CBB mechanical Home small faves System

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it's a home game vs. Temple and the line is -4.5

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going going.... GONE

(obviously this system has huge selection bias going in each direction. games that open at -1.5 and are total losers, end up not being used. easy winners that open -4 and close -6 aren't used either, so presumably it balances out. but in the end the system uses a weird set of games - games that don't have much betting action either way.)

(i do like following the system, because it means i keep my eye on these games, and generally, there IS a lot of action on the small home favs.)
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