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  #1  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:24 PM
reemas reemas is offline
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Default NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

PT shows opponent as 18.5/7/.93 after 70 hands, but at the time he was less known (maybe 25 hands in).

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players

UTG: $24.90
Hero (CO): $25.90
BTN: $26.55
SB: $25.35
BB: $14.05

Pre-Flop: K[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] dealt to Hero (CO)
UTG folds, <font color="red">Hero raises to $1</font>, 2 folds, BB calls $0.75

Flop: ($2.10) A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (2 Players)
BB checks, <font color="red">Hero bets $1.50</font>, BB calls $1.50

Turn: ($5.10) 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (2 Players)
<font color="red">BB bets $1.75</font>, <font color="red">Hero ???</font>

I'm lost now.
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  #2  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:28 PM
doppelganger doppelganger is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

Too small to fold here. I call and see what the river looks like. Since we're in position we have the option of choosing to call or fold the river, depending on how big he makes it. If he makes another little baby bet I think we have odds to call, but if it's big I think it's a fold.
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  #3  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:31 PM
reemas reemas is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

how about raising?
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  #4  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:31 PM
NeverScurred NeverScurred is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

I'm not sure what this is about; he's either baiting you to raise him or trying to buy a cheap showdown. He could easily have a weaker ace that he doesn't want to call a big bet with. The only hands for you to worry about are 44 and 55, I think. I'd make it around $5.5 and fold to a raise. Plan on betting the river if checked to.
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  #5  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:32 PM
doppelganger doppelganger is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

[ QUOTE ]
how about raising?

[/ QUOTE ]

What hands that we beat are calling a raise?
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  #6  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:35 PM
reemas reemas is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

weak aces, 66-KK, bluffs
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  #7  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:41 PM
doppelganger doppelganger is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

[ QUOTE ]
weak aces, 66-KK, bluffs

[/ QUOTE ]

Those are hands that he might be making his turn bet with. I'm asking what actually calls if we raise. (IMO, all of those will fold and we gain nothing.)
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  #8  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:44 PM
NeverScurred NeverScurred is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

The stats make him out to be a station, so I think a raise gets value from AQ-AT as long as you don't make it too large, which is a big part of his range here imo. Also 66 might call with its draw. Flatting is also ok, though, if you don't think he'll call two more streets with an ace.
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  #9  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:48 PM
losingdonkey losingdonkey is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

I don't think you get enough calls from weaker hands by raising the turn. I'd call and let him bluff the river planning to call depending on the size of the bet.
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  #10  
Old 11-27-2007, 09:51 PM
doppelganger doppelganger is offline
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Default Re: NL25 - AK hits vs unknown

[ QUOTE ]
The stats make him out to be a station, so I think a raise gets value from AQ-AT as long as you don't make it too large, which is a big part of his range here imo. Also 66 might call with its draw. Flatting is also ok, though, if you don't think he'll call two more streets with an ace.

[/ QUOTE ]

If he's a station then it's even scarier to me that he's donking the turn, that usually means he's picked up 2pair or a straight.
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