TPTK vs. mattg

[TheNewf]

Blah this is such a sick spot from the maniac rebuyfest. Thoughts on all postflop streets?

PokerStars Game #10019557754: Tournament #49451143, $250+$20 Hold'em No Limit - Level XV (2000/4000) - 2007/05/20 - 18:30:26 (ET)
Table '49451143 5' 9-max Seat #8 is the button
Seat 1: mattster24 (191340 in chips)
Seat 2: gbmantis (128533 in chips)
Seat 4: SirWatts (301152 in chips)
Seat 5: mattg1983 (322408 in chips)
Seat 6: gunning4you (387023 in chips)
Seat 7: GRinDer444 (431142 in chips)
Seat 8: ahh_snap (128200 in chips)
Seat 9: No10No10Ho! (155487 in chips)
mattster24: posts the ante 200
gbmantis: posts the ante 200
SirWatts: posts the ante 200
mattg1983: posts the ante 200
gunning4you: posts the ante 200
GRinDer444: posts the ante 200
ahh_snap: posts the ante 200
No10No10Ho!: posts the ante 200
No10No10Ho!: posts small blind 2000
mattster24: posts big blind 4000
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to SirWatts [Ad Ks]
gbmantis: folds
SirWatts: raises 7000 to 11000
mattg1983: calls 11000
gunning4you: folds
GRinDer444: folds
ahh_snap: folds
No10No10Ho!: folds
mattster24: folds
*** FLOP *** [Kc 9s 6h]
SirWatts: bets 20000
mattg1983: raises 35550 to 55550
SirWatts: calls 35550
*** TURN *** [Kc 9s 6h] [5d]
SirWatts: checks
mattg1983: bets 60550
SirWatts: calls 60550
*** RIVER *** [Kc 9s 6h 5d] [Jc]
SirWatts: checks
mattg1983: bets 195108 and is all-in
SirWatts: ?

[RandALLin]

i think mattg is so tight that he either has 87 or a set here, ak is never good to this deep of shove even in the maniac rebuyfest. either way mattg doesn't 3barrell so gld.

[spyu]

From villain's perspective you could have 10s-QQ or a weak K. It doesn't seem like he's putting you on AK here. What do you know about villain i.e. his capabilities and tendencies. Barring any reads I think you're ahead of his line more times than not, but again I know nothing about villain. Very tough spot nonetheless.

[TheNewf]

villian is a pretty big nit... What really sucks is there's a decent chance we have the same hand, but not likely enough that I can call. I really wanted to fold somewhere earlier in the hand but I don't know if I can.

[ZJ123]

[ QUOTE ]
villian is a pretty big nit... What really sucks is there's a decent chance we have the same hand, but not likely enough that I can call. I really wanted to fold somewhere earlier in the hand but I don't know if I can.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah, Really hard to fold turn with his small bet. I don't see him 3 barrelling you very often here, so i think its a good river fold. Tough spot.

[NHFunkii]

folding flop is probably correct

[RandALLin]

[ QUOTE ]
villian is a pretty big nit... What really sucks is there's a decent chance we have the same hand, but not likely enough that I can call. I really wanted to fold somewhere earlier in the hand but I don't know if I can.

[/ QUOTE ]

At first I thought you might have the same hand also, but don't you think he would 3bet AK this deep?

[gobboboy]

His flop raise is 100% set.

[Eagles]

I don't know how villain plays but against an unknown I get it in on the flop.

[mattg1983]

I had AQ. I played off off my tight image and that I had smooth called KK preflop just a couple hands earlier for a big pot against mattster24. I put you on AK as soon as you smooth called my flop raise. My turn bet screamed monster IMO and it also saved plenty of chips for a river shove. As randall said "mattg doesnt three barrel", this is pretty much true as this is a play i make once a decade. I think it was a good fold longterm.