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  #1  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:14 PM
Nogatsira Nogatsira is offline
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Default $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t150 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO (t3070)
Button (t5564)
SB (t4916)
BB (t1608)
UTG (t2690)
Hero (t6030)
MP1 (t2000)
MP2 (t1467)
MP3 (t5020)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with J[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img].
<font color="#CC3333">UTG raises to t450</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t1200</font>, <font color="#666666">7 folds</font>, UTG calls t750.

Flop: (t2625) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
UTG checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (t2625) 8[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
<font color="#CC3333">UTG bets t1490 (All-In)</font>, Hero folds.

Final Pot: t1135

Was this too weak or does he have me beat on this flop after just calling preflop?
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  #2  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:20 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 35.714% 35.00% 00.71% 1078 22.00 { JhJs }
Hand 1: 64.286% 63.57% 00.71% 1958 22.00 { 66+, AJs+, KQs, AJo+, KQo }


Gettting 2.76:1.

Call or adjust range.
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  #3  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:22 PM
tomek322 tomek322 is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

Shove it in on the flop.
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  #4  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:23 PM
Nogatsira Nogatsira is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

Do you really think it's 66+ here Sherman? He commits half his stack preflop.
To me it seems QQ, KK, AA, AK since he just smoothcalls. I think 66+ would have come over the top preflop.
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  #5  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:27 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

[ QUOTE ]
Do you really think it's 66+ here Sherman? He commits half his stack preflop.
To me it seems QQ, KK, AA, AK since he just smoothcalls. I think 66+ would have come over the top preflop.

[/ QUOTE ]

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 02.922% 02.92% 00.00% 36 0.00 { JhJs }
Hand 1: 97.078% 97.08% 00.00% 1196 0.00 { QQ+, AQs+, AQo+ }


Better?
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  #6  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:29 PM
Nogatsira Nogatsira is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

That makes me feel better yes [img]/images/graemlins/tongue.gif[/img]
No but seriously, do you think he would do it with mid pocket pairs?
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  #7  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:33 PM
Sherman Sherman is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

I can't be sure. I don't know anything about this guy.

I suppose those two ranges are probably the tightest possible and the loosest possible. So, this is probably somewhere near the middle:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 20.130% 18.70% 01.43% 288 22.00 { JhJs }
Hand 1: 79.870% 78.44% 01.43% 1208 22.00 { TT+, AQs+, AQo+ }


Fold is probably good.
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  #8  
Old 09-24-2007, 04:35 PM
Nogatsira Nogatsira is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

He's playing around 11/3/3 this tournament, so I think the TT+ AQ+ range seems about right.
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  #9  
Old 09-24-2007, 09:13 PM
erc007 erc007 is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

(if) you're going to raise pre...make it 1500-2K (then call shove). As played, you're getting about 3 to 1 to call turn shove, which means that you only have to be good 1 time out of 4, for the call to be EV+.
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  #10  
Old 09-25-2007, 06:24 AM
nath nath is offline
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Default Re: $55 JJ against UTG raiser linecheck

dude whenever you're pot committed your hand is automatically the nizzles
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